Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FNUS73 KEAX 241442
FWSEAX

Spot Forecast for Island Prairie and Lone 20...USFWS
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
942 AM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-438-0596, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Low fire danger is expected for today. Winds will be out of the
north around 10 mph the rest of today. Relative humidity values
will be around 50 percent at ignition but fall to 30 to 35 percent
this afternoon. Light rain showers are expected to move into the
area after midnight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......3900-5000 ft AGL increasing to 6000-7100 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 OR or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   4   8   10  15  24  28  37
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............63  66  69  72  73  73  74  73
RH..............50  43  37  33  31  31  30  33
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   6   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.            7
Mix hgt (kft)...3.9 5.0 6.0 6.7 7.1 7.1 7.0 6.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.17  17  17  16  15  14  13  12
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning.
CWR.................1 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming north 5 to 6 mph
                    late in the evening.
Mixing height.......5600-6400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 OR or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........55  64  64  64  64  63  61  60  66  79  85  89
Weather cov.....                                        SCH SCH
Weather type....                                        RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............71  70  67  64  61  59  56  54  54  53  53  53
RH..............36  41  45  50  56  60  66  74  71  74  74  74
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.            5   5           6           6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...6.4 5.6 3.8 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.12  12  13  14  15  17  18  20  20  17  16  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning, then chance of
                    rain showers in the morning. Rain showers
                    likely in the afternoon.
CWR.................1 percent increasing to 41 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......300-1900 ft AGL increasing to 2300-2900 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 13 mph decreasing to 3 to 6 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........96  91  91  92  93  94  96  96  96  97  97  95
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   20  20  20  20  20  20  40  40  40  40  40
Temp............53  53  54  57  58  59  59  59  59  59  59  58
RH..............77  74  74  67  67  64  67  67  67  69  69  69
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.3 2.7 2.9 2.8
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.13  10  9   8   7   6   5   5   3   3   5   6
Haines index....5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Mell
Requested by...Deon Steinle
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807622.0/EAX
.DELDT 04/24/18
.EMAIL deon_steinle@fws.gov


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