Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FNUS75 KFGZ 221401
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for White Springs...FTA
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
701 AM MST Mon Jul 22 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MST on July 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...an increase in moisture will lead to a chance
of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. These storms
will be high-based, with gusty and erratic winds the main threat.
A better chance for wetting rain arrives Tuesday and Wednesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms during the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........18 to 22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable up to 5 mph, becoming southwest
                    5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph by
                    mid afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Very good.
Clearing Index......921.
Mixing height.......8800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the east late
                    in the morning, then shifting to the southwest
                    in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........70 to 80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable around 5 mph, except gusty and
                    erratic winds near showers and thunderstorms.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......4.
Mixing height.......400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph
                    overnight.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the
                    morning, then numerous showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........32 to 38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable up to 5 mph, becoming mainly south
                    to southwest 5 to 10 mph during the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Very good.
Clearing Index......818.
Mixing height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.

$$
Forecaster...JOHNDROW
Requested by...Justin Cromwell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1912544.0/FGZ
.DELDT 07/22/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL marwin.dazen@bia.gov


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