Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FNUS75 KGJT 270410
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Pipe Creek RX...Ashley National Forest
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1010 PM MDT Thu Apr 26 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 MDT on April 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will keep skies clear Friday before an approaching
storm system moves in for Saturday. Winds will increase from the
southwest as showers and thunderstorms develop in the afternoon
and evening Saturday.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10%).
Max temperature.....65-70 F.
Min humidity........12-17%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest upslope winds 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair, increasing to good by 1400.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL, increasing to 12300 ft AGL by 1400.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 MPH, becoming west in the afternoon.
Clearing Index......510, increasing to 960 in the afternoon.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%).
Min temperature.....42-47 F.
Max humidity........43-48%.
Wind (20 ft)........East southeast with downslope/downvalley after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good, decreasing to fair after midnight.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......12100 ft AGL, decreasing to 3200 ft AGL after
                    midnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 MPH.
Clearing Index......850, decreasing to 410 after midnight.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%).
Max temperature.....66-71 F.
Min humidity........19-24%.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 MPH, increasing to 15 MPH with
                    gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good, increasing to excellent in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......12700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 MPH.
Clearing Index......1050.

$$
Forecaster...Andrew Lyons
Requested by...Patrick Ahrnsbrak
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1808042.0/GJT
.EMAIL Pahrnsbrak@fs.fed.us


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