Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA
726 FXUS66 KHNX 060738 AFDHNX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hanford CA 1238 AM PDT Mon May 6 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... 1. Strong, gusty northwest winds will persist in the Mojave Desert Slopes today and Tuesday. 2. A warming trend is expected today through Sunday. 3. By Sunday afternoon, high temperatures throughout Central California will be around ten degrees above normal for this time of year. 4. Dry weather will persist for the next several days. && .DISCUSSION... Broad cyclone flow aloft will prevail today and Tuesday. Strong, gusty northwest winds are expected in the Mojave Desert Slopes today and Tuesday. There is an 81 percent chance of wind gusts of 45 mph or higher in Mojave this morning. There is a 97 percent chance of wind gusts of 45 mph or higher in Mojave Tuesday evening. As soon as the current Wind Advisory expires or can be cancelled early, a new Wind Advisory will be issued for the time period from 5 PM PDT this afternoon until 11 PM PDT Tuesday evening. An upper-level area of low pressure over the North Central United States will retrograde westward Wednesday. This cyclone aloft will settle over the Great Basin Thursday, before opening up into a trough of low pressure Friday. The trough of low pressure will progress eastward Saturday. Thunderstorm probabilities have decreased along the Sierra Nevada crest Thursday into Saturday. A ridge of high pressure will be centered over the Golden State Sunday. A warming trend is anticipated today through Sunday. By Sunday afternoon, high temperatures across Central California will be around ten degrees above normal for this time of year. Here are probabilities of maximum temperatures of 90 degrees or higher for select locations in the San Joaquin Valley on Sunday, May 12th, 2024: Fresno - 61% Bakersfield - 56% Visalia - 56% Hanford - 56% Lemoore - 56% Delano - 56% Madera - 51% Porterville - 51% Merced - 41% Reedley - 41% && .AVIATION... VFR conditions will prevail throughout Central California for at least the next 24 hours. && .AIR QUALITY ISSUES... None. && .CERTAINTY... The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high. The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is high. Certainty levels include low, medium, and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information and/or to provide feedback. && .HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Wind Advisory until 6 AM PDT early this morning for CAZ338. && $$ BS weather.gov/hanford