Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
041
FNUS52 KILM 090811
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
411 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm weather continues through tomorrow. Several
rounds of rain and thunderstorms expected late this afternoon
through early Friday, with chance for severe weather late today
and again Thursday. High pressure with near normal temps and
lower daytime RH will dominate this weekend into early next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-100015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
411 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 40 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 90 66 85
Min/Max RH (%) 60 95 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 8 G21 W 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G22 W 7 G17 W 8
Precip Amount 0.04 0.04 0.12
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0800 1900 71/0800
Dispersion Good
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 23 W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 108100 60000
ADI Early 48 Gen Good 47 Gen Good 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 70 Good 14 Gen Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C D B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-100015-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
411 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 40 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 89 66 84
Min/Max RH (%) 62 98 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 8 G18 W 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G19 SW 6 W 7
Precip Amount 0.05 0.04 0.11
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 12 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0800 2000 70/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 3400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 25 W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 97500 51000
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 54 Gen Good 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 85 Good 12 Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 7
Max LVORI Late 2 7 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability C D B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-100015-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
411 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 30 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 87 67 84
Min/Max RH (%) 64 99 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G18 SW 10 G20 W 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 12 G23 SW 7 W 9 G17
Precip Amount 0.09 0.01 0.13
Precip Duration 4 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0600 2000 74/0900
Dispersion Good
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3400 3800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 23 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 78200 60800
ADI Early 38 Fair 41 Gen Good 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 62 Good 12 Poor 53 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 7
Max LVORI Late 3 7 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C D B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-100015-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
411 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 40 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 4 3 3
Max/Min Temp 89 66 83
Min/Max RH (%) 59 99 59
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 8 G20 W 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G22 SW 5 W 7
Precip Amount 0.06 0.06 0.17
Precip Duration 2 1 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 1 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0900 1900 70/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 2800
Transport Wind (mph) W 23 W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 101200 39200
ADI Early 55 Gen Good 37 Fair 37 Fair
ADI Late 86 Good 9 Poor 45 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 7
Max LVORI Late 2 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability C D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-100015-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
411 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 40 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 88 65 83
Min/Max RH (%) 63 99 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 7 G20 W 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G22 SW 5 W 7
Precip Amount 0.09 0.06 0.13
Precip Duration 3 1 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0600 1900 69/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 3000
Transport Wind (mph) W 23 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 92000 51000
ADI Early 56 Gen Good 43 Gen Good 32 Fair
ADI Late 76 Good 9 Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 8
Max LVORI Late 2 8 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 84 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-100015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
411 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 30 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 87 66 84
Min/Max RH (%) 69 100 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 9 G19 W 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 11 G21 SW 6 W 8
Precip Amount 0.13 0.02 0.13
Precip Duration 4 1 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0600 1900 73/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 4 5
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3300 3800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 26 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 85800 64600
ADI Early 43 Gen Good 43 Gen Good 35 Fair
ADI Late 64 Good 11 Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 8
Max LVORI Late 3 8 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$