Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
075
FNUS54 KMAF 061949
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
249 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20-FT WINDS OF
20 MPH OR MORE, AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS SOUTH TO THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS,
20-FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS SOUTH TO THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS...
.DISCUSSION...
Critical relative humidity is forecast every day through Thursday.
This will combine with increased 20-ft winds and high to extreme
Fire Danger Tuesday and Wednesday to create critical fire weather
conditions across the higher terrain, and elevated fire weather
conditions Thursday. A cold front Thursday will alleviate
critical fire weather conditions through the weekend. Recovery
overnight and Tuesday night will be excellent over parts of the
Western Low Rolling Plains, southeast Permian Basin, and lower
Trans Pecos, but only poor to moderate elsewhere. Relative
humidity will bottom out at 4-14% Tuesday afternoon, and 5-16%
Wednesday.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-070930-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
149 PM MDT Mon May 6 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 44 (-14) 83 (+6) 49 81
RH % (24h trend) 25 (-18) 4 (-6) 21 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 23 W 10 W 25 W 16
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 10 SW 21 W 18 W 23
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 50 29 52 43
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8280 11480
Transport Wnd (kts) W 31 W 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 256680 344400
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 7 9 8 6
RFTI Category Extreme Historic Extreme Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15
mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast
winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
$$
NMZ117-070930-
Chaves Plains-
149 PM MDT Mon May 6 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 47 (-13) 90 (+6) 52 87
RH % (24h trend) 24 (-67) 5 (-4) 22 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 17 W 7 SW 20 NW 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 8 SW 17 W 13 W 18
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 4 5 3
Wind 10000 FT MSL 47 32 48 36
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10610 13770
Transport Wnd (kts) W 24 W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 254640 302940
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 6 7 8 4
RFTI Category Critical Extreme Extreme Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ118-070930-
Eddy Plains-
149 PM MDT Mon May 6 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 49 (-14) 91 (+5) 55 90
RH % (24h trend) 25 (-65) 5 (-4) 21 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 20 W 6 SW 21 W 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 9 SW 19 W 12 W 21
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 43 24 49 42
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8810 12360
Transport Wnd (kts) W 28 W 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 246680 321360
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 7 8 8 7
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ119-070930-
Lea-
149 PM MDT Mon May 6 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 48 (-14) 89 (+4) 54 88
RH % (24h trend) 23 (-72) 5 (-4) 23 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 18 W 7 SW 18 NW 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 9 SW 17 W 12 W 17
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 40 30 50 39
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9020 12190
Transport Wnd (kts) W 26 W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 234520 268180
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 7 7 8 6
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Extreme Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-070930-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
249 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024 /149 PM MDT Mon May 6 2024/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 50 (-8) 84 (+9) 54 82
RH % (24h trend) 20 (-56) 6 (-5) 19 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 34 W 15 W 32 W 31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 23 W 30 W 30 W 33
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 3 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 47 36 53 49
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6640 9770
Transport Wnd (kts) W 35 W 39
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 232400 381030
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 7 8 9 7
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Historic Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Windy, clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
20 to 30 mph.
.FRIDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 70. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ275-276-279>282-070930-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Central Brewster County-
Chisos Basin-Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Marfa, Big Bend National Park,
Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin, Presidio, Lajitas,
and Castolon
249 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-8) 96 (+5) 58 96
RH % (24h trend) 28 (-59) 6 (0) 28 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 11 NW 7 SW 9 W 14
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 9 SW 11 W 9 W 18
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 3 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 37 27 35 33
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8750 11600
Transport Wnd (kts) W 19 W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 166250 278400
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 5 3 3 7
RFTI Category Critical Near Crit Near Crit Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 10
to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Not as warm. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-277-278-070930-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Fort Davis, and Alpine
249 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (-9) 90 (+6) 57 88
RH % (24h trend) 25 (-56) 5 (-3) 24 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 18 W 9 SW 17 W 20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 11 W 18 W 17 W 23
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 43 34 49 49
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8030 11020
Transport Wnd (kts) W 26 W 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 208780 319580
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 7 8 8 7
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-060>063-067>070-075-082-070930-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Kermit, Odessa, Midland,
Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, and Sanderson
249 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (-14) 95 (+4) 59 93
RH % (24h trend) 47 (-44) 7 (-3) 58 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 13 W 5 SW 12 W 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 8 SW 10 SW 8 W 14
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 43 28 43 36
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8610 10770
Transport Wnd (kts) W 23 W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 198030 215400
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 3 3 3
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds
around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ059-274-070930-
Loving-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Mentone and Pecos
249 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-7) 96 (+6) 61 93
RH % (24h trend) 23 (-61) 5 (-2) 22 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 14 W 7 SW 13 W 14
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 8 SW 14 SW 9 W 19
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 40 31 43 43
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9290 11960
Transport Wnd (kts) W 24 W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 222960 287040
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 6 5 6 6
RFTI Category Critical Critical Critical Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
$$
44