Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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973
FNUS54 KMEG 051952
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
252 PM CDT Sun May 5 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Much of the Mid-South will experience a wetting rain overnight
with a general lull in showers and thunderstorms on Monday.
Additional thunderstorms will affect the area Tuesday and
Wednesday, some of which may be severe. Gusty south winds are also
expected Tuesday and Wednesday ahead of the next cold front.
Cooler and drier conditions are expected area wide Friday into the
weekend.

ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-061000-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
252 PM CDT Sun May 5 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     90           30           50           50
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.70         0.05         0.11         0.04
Precip Duration (hrs) 9            2            2            2
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      64 (0)       82 (+4)      69           84
RH % (24h trend)      99 (+4)      59 (-7)      93           58
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SW 4-8 G17                SW 12-16 G27
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    E 3-7        SW 6-10 G18  S 5-9        SW 13-17 G27
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1100                      1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3700                      3200
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1200                      1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 4000                      3500
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  7                     SW  9
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 16                     SW 21
Vent Index (m2/s)                  8400                      9900
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              74                        78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  5                     SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 12                     SW 25
Dispersion Index      13           37           24           57
LAL                   4            3            3            3
LASI/Haines Index     3            3            3            3
Stability Class       D            C            E            C
Stagnation Index      2            3            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-061000-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
252 PM CDT Sun May 5 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     90           30           40           40
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.91         0.02         0.03         0.01
Precip Duration (hrs) 7            2            2            2
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      65 (+2)      82 (+5)      69           84
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+1)     61 (-13)     95           60
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SW 4-8                    S 9-13 G21
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE 3-7       SW 6-10      S 4-8        SW 10-14 G22
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1200                      1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3900                      3300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1300                      1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 4100                      3500
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  7                     SW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 16                     SW 22
Vent Index (m2/s)                  9100                      11000
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              75                        78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  6                     SW 12
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 13                     SW 26
Dispersion Index      10           43           27           52
LAL                   4            3            3            3
LASI/Haines Index     3            3            3            3
Stability Class       D            B            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-061000-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
252 PM CDT Sun May 5 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     90           50           50           70
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.72         0.20         0.05         0.05
Precip Duration (hrs) 11           2            2            8
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      63 (+1)      82 (0)       66           83
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+2)     62 (+4)      97           62
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SW 5-9 G17                S 8-12 G23
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S 2-6        SW 5-9 G17   SW 3-7       SW 11-15 G23
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1000                      800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3300                      2700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1100                      900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 3600                      3100
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  8                     SW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 18                     SW 22
Vent Index (m2/s)                  8800                      9000
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              74                        77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  8                     SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 19                     SW 24
Dispersion Index      13           42           14           50
LAL                   4            3            3            3
LASI/Haines Index     3            3            3            3
Stability Class       D            C            E            C
Stagnation Index      1            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-061000-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
252 PM CDT Sun May 5 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     90           40           30           60
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.68         0.11         0.02         0.02
Precip Duration (hrs) 10           2            2            8
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      63 (+2)      83 (0)       67           84
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+1)     59 (+1)      96           62
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SW 5-9                    S 8-12 G22
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      SW 6-10      S 3-7        SW 10-14 G22
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1100                      800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3700                      2700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1200                      1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 4100                      3100
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  8                     SW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 17                     SW 22
Vent Index (m2/s)                  9600                      10000
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              75                        77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  8                     SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 18                     SW 24
Dispersion Index      14           53           14           49
LAL                   4            3            3            3
LASI/Haines Index     3            3            3            3
Stability Class       D            B            E            C
Stagnation Index      1            3            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-061000-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
252 PM CDT Sun May 5 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     80           30           30           50
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.53         0.04         0.02         0.01
Precip Duration (hrs) 7            2            2            2
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      65 (+2)      84 (+4)      68           86
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+2)     59 (-11)     94           62
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SW 4-8                    S 9-13 G22
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE 3-7       SW 6-10      S 4-8        SW 11-15 G22
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1200                      900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3900                      2900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1300                      1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 4100                      3100
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  7                     SW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 16                     SW 22
Vent Index (m2/s)                  9100                      10000
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              75                        78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  7                     SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 15                     SW 24
Dispersion Index      11           42           19           50
LAL                   4            3            3            3
LASI/Haines Index     3            3            3            3
Stability Class       E            B            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows around 60. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-061000-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
252 PM CDT Sun May 5 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     80           40           20           60
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.37         0.08         0.01         0.02
Precip Duration (hrs) 8            2            1            5
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      63 (+2)      85 (+2)      67           85
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      55 (-3)      97           59
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SW 3-7                    S 7-11 G19
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      SW 4-8       S 2-6        SW 9-13 G21
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1100                      800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3600                      2500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1200                      900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 4000                      2900
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  7                     SW  9
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 16                     SW 20
Vent Index (m2/s)                  8400                      8100
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              76                        78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  7                     SW  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 16                     SW 20
Dispersion Index      10           44           13           48
LAL                   4            3            2            3
LASI/Haines Index     3            3            3            3
Stability Class       E            B            E            C
Stagnation Index      2            3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows around 60. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$