Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 251326
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto 6315 C-19...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
826 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Isolated showers and storms north of Highway 84 are expected;
however, these are not expected to impact the burn site.
Afternoon relative humidity values remain above critical levels
into the weekend. Transport winds will be mostly southerly to
westerly today, staying below 5 mph through 11 AM and then
increasing to 7 to 10 mph during the afternoon. Dispersion index
values will be fair to generally good today and generally good to
good on Friday.


Fog potential and other remarks... Any lingering fog should
dissipate within the next hour or two. Patchy fog is possible
again tonight, but will dissipate after sunrise.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...823-1920 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 5 mph shifting to the south 7 to
                    10 mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....12 increasing to 49.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  20  25  32  40  47  49  46
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............75  80  82  84  85  86  85  83
RH..............69  54  49  44  43  40  41  46
20 FT wind dir..E   ESE SE  SSE SSE S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   5   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.3   5   7   8   9   9   10  12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 4.2 5.3 5.9 6.3 6.2 5.5 5.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.8 1.3 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.7
Transp wind dir.E   ESE SE  SSE SSE S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   5   5   7   7   8   9   10
Trans wind dir..E   ESE SE  SSE SSE S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).1   2   2   3   3   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..12  23  33  45  50  52  47  47
LVORI...........2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Patchy fog
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1676 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....47 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........39     32     26     42     53     60
Weather cov.....                            PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............82     72     66     64     63     62
RH..............47     66     84     93     100    100
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..7      5      3      2      2      2
20 FT wind gust.10     8      6      3      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....5500   400    400    400    400    400
Mix hgt (m).....1680   120    120    120    120    120
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.12     12     10     9      9      8
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).5      5      4      4      4      4
Dispersion idx..47     6      5      4      4      4
LVORI...........1      3      5      7      9      9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 7 to 12 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1311 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph increasing to 18 to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 9 meters/second becoming 4 to 8
                    meters/second early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 8 to 9 meters/second late in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 59.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........60     59     56     58     57     54
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............61     65     76     81     84     83
RH..............100    93     62     49     44     46
20 FT wind dir..SE     SE     SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE
20 FT wind spd..2      5      10     13     14     14
20 FT wind gust.5      8      17     21     23     23
Mix hgt (ft)....500    800    2300   3700   4200   4300
Mix hgt (m).....150    240    700    1130   1280   1310
Transp wind dir.SSE    SSE    S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.8      10     17     17     20     20
Trans wind dir..SSE    SSE    S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).4      4      8      8      9      9
Dispersion idx..3      13     47     59     59     58
LVORI...........9      5      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...73
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412441.0/MOB
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov


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