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000
FNUS73 KMPX 181337
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Bethel WMA...MNDNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
837 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
For the Bethel WMA, expect partly cloudy skies becoming mostly
sunny later in the day as a few lingering rain showers exit the
region this morning. Due to recently departed showers, relative
humidity will be fairly high with a low mark of around 40 percent
this afternoon and roughly mid 60s percent at ignition time. Winds
will be breezy out of the west today at 10-15mph with some gusts
to 25mph likely during the afternoon.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent).
Temperature.........44 at ignition...Max 54.
RH..................68 percent at ignition...Min 42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 10 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    West winds 10 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /37800 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /120400 knot-ft/ increasing to
                    excellent (147100 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 28 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  PC  MCR MCR MCR PC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............44  46  48  50  50  51  50  49  48  47  45  44
RH..............68  58  54  48  46  42  44  42  44  45  47  49
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  12  14  14  16  17  17  17  16  15  15  14
20 FT wind gust.15  18  20  22  23  24  25  23  24  24  23  21
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 3.3 4.5 5.5 6.4 6.8 6.5 6.7 6.5 6.2 3.8 2.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.20  21  23  25  26  26  26  28  28  26  23  21
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........Min 31.
RH..................Max 69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (76100 knot-ft) decreasing to good
                    (39500 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing
                    to poor (10300 knot-ft) late in the night early
                    in the evening.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 21 to 26 mph decreasing to 14 to 16 mph in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent).
Temperature.........Max 45.
RH..................Min 38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 12 to 18 mph. Gusts up to 29 mph
                    early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (15000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (104300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (159100
                    knot-ft) in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 22 mph increasing to 26 to 31 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Hasenstein
Requested by...Kevin Berens
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411320.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kevin.berens@state.mn.us