Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FNUS73 KSGF 191251
FWSSGF

Spot Forecast for Carman...USFS
National Weather Service Springfield MO
751 AM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

Forecast is based on request time of 1600 CDT on April 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-762-4363, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

A steady north wind will persist today as surface high pressure builds into the
area. Winds will become light tonight and shift to the east for Friday. Showers
are likely this weekend. Temperatures will remain slightly below
average.


.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
TEMPERATURE.........Max 56.
RH..................Min 38 percent.
DEWPOINT............29 increasing to 32 late in the afternoon.
APPARENT TEMP.......29.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....North winds 5 to 8 mph.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........North winds 5 to 8 mph.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-4200 ft AGL increasing to 4400-5000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Good to excellent (36800-68500 knot-ft).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Good to excellent (36800-68500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........33  52  47  42  37  35  33  31  24  16  9   5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............37  38  40  43  45  47  50  53  54  55  55  54
DEWPOINT........27  27  27  28  28  29  30  31  31  31  32  32
RH..............67  64  59  55  51  49  46  43  41  40  41  43
APARNT TMP (F)..29  31  34  38  40  43  46  53  54  55  55  54
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.9 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 4.9 5.0 4.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.18  20  20  20  20  18  17  16  16  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/100037  49  57  64  69  68  66  65  68  64  65  62
SDSPL KT-FT/100037  49  57  64  69  68  66  65  68  64  65  62

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent). Areas of frost early in
                    the morning.
TEMPERATURE.........Min 35.
RH..................Max 82 percent.
DEWPOINT............31.
APPARENT TEMP.......34.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4300 ft AGL decreasing to 0-1500 ft AGL
                    from mid evening through the overnight.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....Northeast 5 to 14 mph decreasing to around 3
                    mph early in the morning.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to good (1700-51200 knot-ft) decreasing to
                    poor to poor (0-1000 knot-ft) in the late
                    evening and overnight.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to good (1700-51200 knot-ft) decreasing to
                    poor to poor (0-1000 knot-ft) in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........2   2   1   1   0   1   1   1   1   1   2   3
WEATHER COV.....                                    ARS ARS ARS
WEATHER TYPE....                                    FST FST FST
TSTM COV........
TEMP............53  50  47  45  43  42  40  39  39  38  37  37
DEWPOINT........32  32  31  32  32  32  32  32  32  32  31  31
RH..............44  50  53  60  65  67  73  76  76  79  79  79
APARNT TMP (F)..53  48  46  45  43  42  40  37  37  36  34  34
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5                   5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   2   2   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5                   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.3 3.0 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  12  8   6   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3
HAINES INDEX....2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/100051  30  11  2   0   0   1   1   1   1   0   0
SDSPL KT-FT/100051  30  11  2   0   0   1   1   1   1   0   0

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Areas of frost early in
                    the morning.
TEMPERATURE.........Max 63.
RH..................Min 26 percent.
DEWPOINT............30.
APPARENT TEMP.......37.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 ft AGL increasing to 3000-4400 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....East 5 to 14 mph shifting to the southeast 14
                    to 16 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to good (800-49300 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (40900-61300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to good (800-49300 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (40900-61300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........2   2   2   1   2   3   4   4   4   4   6   10
WEATHER COV.....ARS
WEATHER TYPE....FST
TSTM COV........
TEMP............39  42  47  51  55  58  60  62  63  63  62  60
DEWPOINT........31  32  32  32  32  31  30  29  28  28  29  30
RH..............73  67  56  48  41  36  32  28  26  26  28  32
APARNT TMP (F)..37  38  44  51  55  58  60  62  63  63  62  60
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..2   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5       10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5       10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 1.0 2.1 3.0 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.3 3.9 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  E
TRANSP WIND SPD.5   7   12  14  15  15  15  16  16  16  15  14
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/10001   6   21  36  45  49  52  58  61  60  53  41
SDSPL KT-FT/10001   6   21  36  45  49  52  58  61  60  53  41

$$
Forecaster...FOSTER
Requested by...Charlene Nazarenko
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1806981.0/SGF
.EMAIL momocdispatch@fs.fed.us



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