Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 280808
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
408 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

.DISCUSSION...No fire weather concerns over the next couple of days
with an active stretch setting up with several opportunities for
showers and thunderstorms across southeast Michigan this
morning/afternoon and continuing tonight for the northern half of
the CWA. Widespread showers and thunderstorm chances again for
Monday afternoon until a cold front sweeps through Monday night
bringing slightly cooler and drier conditions for Tuesday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-282115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
408 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 8 am. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain
                    showers likely after 8 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....64-70.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........64-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph becoming east early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1520-2020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph becoming northeast
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (328).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....50-56.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5 mph
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......880-1080 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph becoming southeast after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers likely after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....70-74.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 10 mph becoming southwest 15
                    to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3650-4150 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (837).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-282115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
408 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms until 8 am,
                    then showers likely and chance of
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70
                    percent.
Max temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........68-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph becoming northeast in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1110-1610 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph becoming northeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (260).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....46-52.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming southeast after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (16).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm.
                    Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph becoming around 15 mph early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3650-4150 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (929).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-282115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
408 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 8 am. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers likely after 8 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3470-3970 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (864).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......880-1080 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4860-5360 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1075).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs around 70. West winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper
70s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
around 50. Highs in the mid 60s.

$$

AA


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