Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
116 FNUS53 KAPX 031920 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 320 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 ...Warm Saturday; More shower chances arrive Saturday night... .DISCUSSION...Warmer than normal temperatures expected tomorrow, but RH`s remain above critical thresholds. Easterly winds around 10 mph gusting to the mid teens will shift to the southwest tomorrow afternoon. Chances of rain return to northern Michigan Saturday night as a system passes through the Great Lakes region. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-040815- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 320 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Min Temperature.....39-44. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 74-79 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 11 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (16). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max Temperature.....72-77...except 53-58 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer...except 12 degrees warmer near the coast. Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 20 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (676). Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers likely. Min Temperature.....45-50. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees warmer near the coast. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the west after midnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (73). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph shifting to the west after midnight. Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.20 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Rain showers likely until 1200. Max Temperature.....62-67...except 49-54 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........37-42 percent...except 52-57 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (497). Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-040815- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 320 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy fog after 2400. Min Temperature.....37-42. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (20). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until 1200. Max Temperature.....68-73...except 47-52 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........51-56 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (239). Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....49-54. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the south after midnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (51). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.11 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 1200, then sunny (15-25 percent). Rain showers likely until 1200. Max Temperature.....65-70...except 50-55 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 24 HR Trend......21 percent drier...except 28 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (571). Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . $$ MIZ020-025>027-040815- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 320 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Min Temperature.....39-44. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler...except 6 degrees cooler near the coast. Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 68-73 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 21 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (15). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the southeast around 9 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max Temperature.....73-78...except 47-52 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........40-45 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except 1 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (739). Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers likely. Min Temperature.....42-47. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 17 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west after midnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (61). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the northwest around 15 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.31 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Rain showers likely until 1200. Max Temperature.....60-65...except 43-48 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........43-48 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (375). Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in . $$ MIZ031>033-040815- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 320 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Min Temperature.....38-43. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 71-76 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......12 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (22). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the east around 9 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 71 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........42-47 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 5 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (753). Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers likely. Min Temperature.....44-49. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west after midnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (56). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the northwest around 15 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.18 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Rain showers likely until 1200. Max Temperature.....62-67...except 52-57 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler...except 14 degrees cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........37-42 percent...except 49-54 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (452). Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 12 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in . $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-040815- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 320 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Min Temperature.....38-43. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........92-97 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (25). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max Temperature.....69-74. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........49-54 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (481). Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....49-54. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (63). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight. Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.14 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Rain showers likely until 1200. Max Temperature.....65-70. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 24 HR Trend......17 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (563). Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in . $$ .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. $$ SJC