Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY
623
FNUS71 KBGM 011745
FWSBGM
Spot Forecast for SGL 119...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
145 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure passing to the north on Thursday will bring a dry
cold front through Northeast PA with winds turning from SW to NW
between 8am and 11am Thursday. RH should rise as the
front moves through but there is not expected to be any
precipitation Thursday morning. RH falls behind the front late
Thursday morning into the afternoon with skies clearing.
High pressure builds in Thursday night into Friday with no
precipitation expected. RH will likely stay elevated much of
Friday as moisture begins to move back in as the high pressure
departs.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
SUNSET..............801 PM EDT
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................28 early in the morning increasing to 89 in the
afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13 14 13 20 19 19 22 25 27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............61 66 69 71 72 73 73 73 74
RH..............69 59 51 47 44 41 41 39 38
20 FT wind dir..W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..10 12 13 13 13 14 14 14 13
20 FT wind gust.16 18 18 18 18 20 21 20 18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.6 3.5 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.9 5.1 4.9
Transp wind dir.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.13 16 20 21 20 20 21 21 21
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............28 51 70 76 77 77 84 89 85
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......North winds 6 to 13 mph shifting to the
northeast 5 to 7 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 18 mph shifting to the northeast 7
to 14 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
SUNRISE.............558 AM EDT
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................62 early in the evening decreasing to 4 late in
the night.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........24 21 19 24 30 36 38 39 41 44 46 49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............71 68 66 62 59 57 56 54 52 51 50 49
RH..............42 45 49 56 60 66 66 70 74 76 79 82
20 FT wind dir..NW N N N N N N N N NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..13 12 13 13 12 10 9 9 8 7 7 6
20 FT wind gust.18 18 18 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 10 9
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 1.9 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW N N N N N N NE NE NE NE E
Transp wind spd.18 15 13 13 14 15 14 13 10 9 8 7
LVORI...........1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5
ADI.............62 32 8 4 8 13 11 9 7 6 5 5
Haines index....4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......East winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast
7 to 10 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast 9 to
12 mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
SUNSET..............802 PM EDT
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................6 early in the morning increasing to 47 in the
afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........45 43 45 48
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1
Temp............51 57 66 69
RH..............80 71 56 52
20 FT wind......E 7G10 E 8G13 SE 9G14 SE 10G15
Mix hgt (ft)....500 1700 3400 4200
Transport wind..E 7 SE 8 SE 9 S 10
LVORI...........4 3 1 1
ADI.............6 18 39 47
Haines index....5 5 4 3
$$
Forecaster...Greenblatt
Requested by...Pat McElhenny
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412936.0/BGM
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL pmcelhenny@tnc.org