Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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Spot Forecast for SGL 236...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1251 PM EDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Partly to mostly sunny skies are expected for Monday, with cool
NW flow prevailing. Winds will peak at around 10 to 13 mph during
the afternoon. Despite cool temperature, it`ll be dry, and minimum
RH values will fall to near 30 percent in the afternoon. Warmer
temperatures and somewhat breezier conditions are expected for
Tuesday, but a slight boost in moisture will offset the
temperatures, keeping minimum RH in the 40-45 percent range.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........31 at ignition...Min 30.
RH..................78 percent at ignition...Max 78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds northwest at 9 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northwest winds around 9
                    mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3.
SUNRISE.............
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................8.

TIME (EDT)      5AM
Sky (%).........4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0
LAL.............1
Temp............31
RH..............78
20 FT wind dir..NW
20 FT wind spd..9
20 FT wind gust.15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5
Transp wind dir.NW
Transp wind spd.12
LVORI...........4
ADI.............8
Haines index....3

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 49.
RH..................Min 31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
SUNSET..............
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................12 early in the morning increasing to 109 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   4   4   3   5   3   3   2   2   2   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............31  31  33  35  38  40  43  45  47  48  48  49
RH..............78  75  72  61  55  48  41  38  34  33  31  33
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..9   9   10  12  12  12  13  13  13  10  10  8
20 FT wind gust.15  15  18  18  20  18  18  18  18  17  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 1.8 3.0 3.7 4.3 4.8 5.1 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.12  12  17  20  21  20  18  20  18  17  17  16
LVORI...........4   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............12  12  40  62  74  75  75  82  79  108 109 100
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 31.
RH..................Max 69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the east
                    around 6 mph late in the evening, then shifting
                    to the southeast overnight.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 13 mph shifting to the south 7
                    to 9 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
SUNRISE.............
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........3         2         2         6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............46        39        34        32
RH..............34        48        54        61
20 FT wind......NW 7G14   N 6G9     E 6G9     SE 6G9
Mix hgt (ft)....4900      400       400       400
Transport wind..NW 13     N 6       SE 6      S 8
LVORI...........2         2         2         3
ADI.............6         3         2         3
Haines index....4         4         4         4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 58.
RH..................Min 43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 7 to 16 mph increasing to 17 to 18
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 18 mph increasing to 21 to 23
                    mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
SUNSET..............
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................10 early in the morning increasing to 100 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........21           35           43
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE         NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0            0            0
LAL.............1            1            1
Temp............34           47           56
RH..............66           51           45
20 FT wind......S 7G12       S 13G18      S 17G25
Mix hgt (ft)....500          3600         5800
Transport wind..S 10         SW 15        SW 22
LVORI...........3            1            1
ADI.............10           54           96
Haines index....4            3            4

$$
Forecaster...Hardiman
Requested by...Brian Williamson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411523.0/BGM
.DELDT 04/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brianwilli@pa.gov
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