Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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897
FNUS71 KCTP 020834
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 82 Unit 3...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
434 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on May 02.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
A near carbon copy of Wednesday`s weather is in store for
the District today with abundant sunshine and dry weather.

MinRH is forecast to drop to 25-35% during the afternoon
hours today with West-Northwest winds averaging 5 to 10 mph.

Sunshine Friday morning will be followed by increasing clouds
during the afternoon and nighttime hours.

Showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely
later Friday night and Saturday and continuing through
the weekend.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 53.
Max Humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 7 mph.
Mixing Height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West around 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................11.

TIME (EDT)          5AM
Sky (%)...........  11
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1
Temp..............  55
RH................  72
20 FT Wind Dir....  W
20 FT Wind Spd....  7
20 FT Wind Gust...  12
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.5
Transp Wind Dir...  W
Transp Wind Spd...  16
LVORI.............  3
ADI...............  11
Haines Index......  4

.TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 78.
Min Humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing Height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 14 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................16 to 48.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  14  17  16  15  13  11  8   4   4   4   7   10
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  57  58  61  64  67  70  72  74  76  76  77  77
RH................  77  75  72  65  61  55  49  44  40  40  39  39
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  6   6   6   8   9   8   8   8   8   8   8   7
20 FT Wind Gust...  11  13  14  16  17  17  14  13  13  13  12  11
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.5 0.5 0.7 1.3 2.0 3.1 3.5 4.1 4.4 4.7 4.9 4.8
Transp Wind Dir...  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  15  15  15  17  17  20  17  17  16  15  15  14
LVORI.............  4   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  16  16  16  48  48  48  48  48  48  45  45  45
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 56.
Max Humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 8 to 12 mph shifting to the north 6
                    to 8 mph late in the evening, then shifting to
                    the east overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 to 8.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  10  11  11  14  17  20  22  25  28  25  22  18
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  76  74  71  68  65  63  62  61  60  59  58  57
RH................  40  43  47  52  58  62  60  60  60  62  64  67
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT Wind Spd....  6   5   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4
20 FT Wind Gust...  10  8   7   6   6   6   5   4   4   5   6   7
Mix Hgt (kft).....  4.0 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   E   E   E   E   E
Transp Wind Spd...  12  8   9   8   7   6   6   6   6   7   8   8
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  8   8   8   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4
Haines Index......  4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1600, then 9-15 strikes.
Max Temperature.....Around 75.
Min Humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................13 to 31.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  20  21  22  33  45  56  56  56  57  62  67  72
Weather Cov.......                                          SCH SCH
Weather Type......                                          RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........                                          SCH SCH
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3
Temp..............  56  57  60  63  65  68  70  72  74  75  75  74
RH................  69  69  64  60  60  59  55  53  50  50  50  53
20 FT Wind Dir....  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT Wind Gust...  7   8   10  11  11  11  11  11  12  12  12  13
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6
Transp Wind Dir...  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp Wind Spd...  9   9   12  13  10  9   10  10  12  13  13  14
LVORI.............  3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
ADI...............  13  13  13  18  18  18  26  26  26  31  31  31
Haines Index......  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Lambert
Requested by...Travis Anderson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412942.0/CTP
.DELDT 05/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tranderson@pa.gov