Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 222332
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
632 PM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.Discussion...
Issued at 203 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

Primary forecast focus is on ending rain chances this afternoon and
evening.

The 500mb trough continues to churn over the AR/MO Ozarks, while
scattered rain showers continue to stream across portions of western
Missouri, primarily south of the I-70 corridor. The upper low has
been slow to move eastward today, with high pressure aloft resulting
in a persistent Rex Blocking pattern over the Midwest. For the
most part, rain has likely ended for the majority of the Kansas
City Metro. Mostly cloudy skies will persist though as the region
remains on the northwest/backside of the 500mb trough as it slowly
exits through the overnight into Monday.

Brief ridging will take hold, building from the southwest, off the
western high plains from northeastern New Mexico and across Kansas.
This should allow for temperatures to rebound as mostly sunny skies
develop in the afternoon across much of the area. Highs tomorrow
will push the mid to upper 60s maybe 70. The 500mb ridge will slide
east through Tuesday, ahead of an advancing short wave trough. The
associated frontal boundary will push into the region late Tuesday
into early Wednesday, bringing another chance of light rain to the
region. Mid-range guidance is in decent agreement with the
south/southeast track of the upper trough, with the better rain
chances focused over eastern Kansas into southwestern Missouri,
nearest the track of the low center. Chances will taper off through
the late Wednesday into early Thursday.

Late in the week, another fast moving 500mb short wave trough will
bring a quick moving frontal boundary across the area Thursday into
Friday, with low rain chances.

Overall, springlike weather will be welcome this coming week, with
highs generally in the mid to upper 60s most days and some low rain
chances.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday Evening)
Issued at 632 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

VFR skies will prevail over the next 24 hours. Only thing to watch
will be winds, which will adjust in speed and direction overnight
and Monday.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...Kurtz
Aviation...Cutter


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