Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 250443
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1143 PM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.Discussion...
Issued at 320 PM CDT TUE APR 24 2018

Upper level ridging has resulted in another gorgeous day today.
Unfortunately though we are going to have to take a brief hiatus
from this weather thanks to an upper level low, currently knocking
on our door step from our northwest. We are already starting to see
the changes with the cirrus clouds moving overhead and precipitation
moving this way from central NE and KS. As the afternoon and
evening progress, cloud cover will increase, but it may be a while
until we see rain at the ground due to the dry air at the
lower levels. Right now, it looks like the best chance to start
seeing rain is early tomorrow morning, but can`t rule out some
light rain before then. Rain chances will continue through
tomorrow night for the southwestern two thirds of our forecast
area. The rain and cloud cover will result in highs tomorrow being
about 20 degrees cooler than today for most of our area, with the
exception of our far northeast, who should see less cloud cover
and avoid the rain.

Thursday, a quick moving shortwave ridge and surface high will move
through, clearing skies and helping us warm into the upper 60s.
Thursday night though another shortwave and cold front will push
through, giving the entire forecast area a chance for light showers.
There is a slight chance for a few rumbles of thunder, but with
the timing and overall set up that seems unlikely.

That leads us to the weekend which continues to look great! Upper
level ridging and surface high pressure take control Friday,
clearing skies and keeping high temperatures in the mid 60s.
Temperatures should steadily increase as the weekend progresses,
with the mid 70s forecast for Sunday.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday Night)
Issued at 1137 PM CDT TUE APR 24 2018

The period will start off with VFR ceilings around 7,000ft with a
NW wind. An approaching low pressure system will cause an increase
in low level moisture and MVFR ceilings shortly after sunrise.
Rain will start falling around the same time as the MVFR ceiling
which will slowly start to drop visibilities into the MVFR range
as well. Some guidance indicates an IFR ceiling will push into the
area from the east, but the trend is for this to occur slightly
later than the previous forecast. This IFR ceiling will be
short lived and out of the area by the late afternoon as the low
pressure system moves to the south. Ceilings are expected to rise
quickly near sunset with VFR conditions by 1-2z for all sites.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...Grana
Aviation...Barham



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