Spot Forecast Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
000
FNUS73 KJKL 212138
FWSJKL
Spot Forecast for Turnhole bottoms rx fire...KDFWR
National Weather Service Jackson KY
538 PM EDT Thu Mar 21 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 EDT on March 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...High pressure will bring precipitation free weather
through midday on Friday to the burn location. However, a low
pressure system tracking eastward across the Deep South will
likely cause rain to spread northward to the burn location by
Friday evening with rain continuing through Friday night. Rainfall
of a third to a half of an inch is expected for the burn location.
The rain will taper off on Saturday morning, followed by another
round of cool and dry air arriving over the weekend.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 26.
Max humidity........Around 96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable.
Ridgetop wind.......North to east 1 to 4 mph.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North to east 4 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Decreasing to poor (900
knot-ft) overnight.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........37 39 42 42 41 41 30 20 9 9 8 8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............52 49 44 40 38 35 33 31 30 28 26 26
RH..............19 21 28 37 40 45 49 53 60 63 68 74
20 FT wind dir..N N NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 1
20 FT wind gust.7 7 6 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 2
Ridge wind dir..N N NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E
Ridge wind spd..2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 2
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 1.9 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
Transp wind dir.N N NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E
Transp wind spd.6 7 7 9 10 10 9 8 6 6 6 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..16 12 8 9 7 5 4 3 2 2 1 1
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
of after 1200.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........Around 34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East to south 1 to 5 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......East to south 2 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East to south 5 to 10 mph, then south 10 to 18
mph after 1000.
Vent Rate...........Poor (800 knot-ft) early increasing to marginal
(29100 knot-ft) to good (79000 knot-ft).
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........19 40 50 61 74 78
Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 20 20
Temp............26 27 41 58 67 70
RH..............78 96 73 51 40 36
20 ft wind......E 1 E 1 SE 2 S 3 S 6 S 5
20 ft wind gust.2 2 7 14 15 16
Ridgetop wind...E 2 E 2 SE 3 S 5 S 6 S 5
Mix hgt (ft)....200 200 1100 2200 4900 4400
Transport wind..E 5 E 6 S 10 S 15 S 18 S 18
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 1 10 29 79 70
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR GOOD GOOD
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). A chance of rain
in the evening, then rain mainly after
2100.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........Near 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2 to 5 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......South to southeast 2 to 5 mph becoming
east to northeast 2 to 5 mph by 0000.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South to southeast 12 to 17 mph, becoming
southeast to east 7 to 10 mph by 0000.
Vent Rate...........Decreasing to poor (4000 knot-ft).
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
Sky (%).........82 87 93 96
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30 50 80 90
Temp............67 59 52 50
RH..............40 55 83 93
20 FT wind......S 5G15 SE 3G6 E 2G3 NE 2G3
Ridgetop wind...S 5 SE 5 E 3 NE 3
Mix hgt (ft)....3200 1100 1000 800
Transport wind..S 17 SE 15 SE 10 E 8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..47 14 9 6
Ventrate Cat....FAIR POOR POOR POOR
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain likely in
the morning, then slight chance of rain showers
in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........Around 43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North 2 to 7 mph, becoming north 7 to 12 mph
after 1000.
Ridgetop wind.......North 3 to 8 mph, becoming north 8 to 14 mph
after 1000.
Mixing height.......Max 3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast to north 5 to 13 mph, becoming
North 13 to 20 mph after 1000.
Vent Rate...........Poor (2400 knot-ft) increasing to good (58600
knot-ft).
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
Sky (%).........94 92 84
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE
Weather type....RAIN RNSHWR NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).70 40 10
Temp............48 47 47
RH..............100 96 79
20 FT wind......N 2G3 N 7G18 N 13G21
Ridgetop wind...N 3 N 8 N 14
Mix hgt (ft)....600 1600 2400
Transport wind..NE 6 N 13 N 20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 17 40
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR FAIR
$$
Forecaster...JP
Requested by...Hunter Vickers
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2407981.0/JKL
.DELDT 03/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Hunter.vickers@ky.gov