Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS73 KJKL 212138
FWSJKL

Spot Forecast for Turnhole bottoms rx fire...KDFWR
National Weather Service Jackson KY
538 PM EDT Thu Mar 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 EDT on March 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will bring precipitation free weather
through midday on Friday to the burn location. However, a low
pressure system tracking eastward across the Deep South will
likely cause rain to spread northward to the burn location by
Friday evening with rain continuing through Friday night. Rainfall
of a third to a half of an inch is expected for the burn location.
The rain will taper off on Saturday morning, followed by another
round of cool and dry air arriving over the weekend.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 26.
Max humidity........Around 96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable.
Ridgetop wind.......North to east 1 to 4 mph.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North to east 4 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Decreasing to poor (900
                    knot-ft) overnight.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........37  39  42  42  41  41  30  20  9   9   8   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  49  44  40  38  35  33  31  30  28  26  26
RH..............19  21  28  37  40  45  49  53  60  63  68  74
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   0   0   0   1
20 FT wind gust.7   7   6   3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   2
Ridge wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
Ridge wind spd..2   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   2
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 1.9 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   9   10  10  9   8   6   6   6   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..16  12  8   9   7   5   4   3   2   2   1   1
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
                    of after 1200.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........Around 34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East to south 1 to 5 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......East to south 2 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East to south 5 to 10 mph, then south 10 to 18
                    mph after 1000.
Vent Rate...........Poor (800 knot-ft) early increasing to marginal
                    (29100 knot-ft) to good (79000 knot-ft).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........19     40     50     61     74     78
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     20     20
Temp............26     27     41     58     67     70
RH..............78     96     73     51     40     36
20 ft wind......E 1    E 1    SE 2   S 3    S 6    S 5
20 ft wind gust.2      2      7      14     15     16
Ridgetop wind...E 2    E 2    SE 3   S 5    S 6    S 5
Mix hgt (ft)....200    200    1100   2200   4900   4400
Transport wind..E 5    E 6    S 10   S 15   S 18   S 18
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1      1      10     29     79     70
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   GOOD   GOOD

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). A chance of rain
                    in the evening, then rain mainly after
                    2100.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........Near 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2 to 5 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......South to southeast 2 to 5 mph becoming
                    east to northeast 2 to 5 mph by 0000.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South to southeast 12 to 17 mph, becoming
                    southeast to east 7 to 10 mph by 0000.
Vent Rate...........Decreasing to poor (4000 knot-ft).

TIME (EDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........82        87        93        96
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....RAIN      RAIN      RAIN      RAIN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30        50        80        90
Temp............67        59        52        50
RH..............40        55        83        93
20 FT wind......S 5G15    SE 3G6    E 2G3     NE 2G3
Ridgetop wind...S 5       SE 5      E 3       NE 3
Mix hgt (ft)....3200      1100      1000      800
Transport wind..S 17      SE 15     SE 10     E 8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..47        14        9         6
Ventrate Cat....FAIR      POOR      POOR      POOR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain likely in
                    the morning, then slight chance of rain showers
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........Around 43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North 2 to 7 mph, becoming north 7 to 12 mph
                    after 1000.
Ridgetop wind.......North 3 to 8 mph, becoming north 8 to 14 mph
                    after 1000.
Mixing height.......Max 3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast to north 5 to 13 mph, becoming
                    North 13 to 20 mph after 1000.
Vent Rate...........Poor (2400 knot-ft) increasing to good (58600
                    knot-ft).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........94           92           84
Weather cov.....LIKELY       CHANCE
Weather type....RAIN         RNSHWR       NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).70           40           10
Temp............48           47           47
RH..............100          96           79
20 FT wind......N 2G3        N 7G18       N 13G21
Ridgetop wind...N 3          N 8          N 14
Mix hgt (ft)....600          1600         2400
Transport wind..NE 6         N 13         N 20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3            17           40
Ventrate Cat....POOR         POOR         FAIR

$$
Forecaster...JP
Requested by...Hunter Vickers
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2407981.0/JKL
.DELDT 03/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Hunter.vickers@ky.gov


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