Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 281048
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for MO Big Brushy...U.S. Forest Service
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
548 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on March 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Surface high pressure will remain over the area this morning before
drifting eastward through Friday. This will provide mostly dry conditions
along with little in the way of cloud cover. Winds will be S/SW through
much of the period and are expected to increase on Friday.

.TODAY...

Max temperature.....45 at ignition...Max 68.
Min humidity........75 percent at ignition...Min 37 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 8 mph.
Stability class.....3.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Dispersion..........18.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....63.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 6885 ft MSL.
Category Day........3.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 6100 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............45  52  57  59  62  65  65  66  67
RH..............75  62  53  47  43  40  40  38  37
20 FT wind dir..N   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..0   3   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.2   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 44.
Max humidity........Max 83 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph.
Stability class.....6.
LVORI...............3.
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Dispersion..........10.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Category Day........2.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............66  62  59  54  52  51  49  48  46  46  46  45
RH..............40  50  53  66  69  71  74  77  79  79  79  82
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   8
20 FT wind gust.8   8   7   7   6   7   7   8   8   8   10  11
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   9   10  10  12  12  12  13  13  13
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.FRIDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 73.
Min humidity........Min 43 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 17 mph increasing to southwest 23
                    to 28 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Dispersion..........24 increasing to 73.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....68.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5324 ft MSL.
Category Day........5.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4500 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............46  46  47  52  58  63  66  70  71  71  73  71
RH..............76  79  83  77  67  58  54  47  46  46  43  46
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   9   12  14  15  15  15  14  14  14  14  13
20 FT wind gust.13  14  16  20  21  21  21  20  20  20  20  19
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  14  17  23  26  28  28  26  26  28  26  23
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...J Hood
Requested by...Adam Strothers
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408700.0/LZK
.DELDT 03/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL adam.strothers@usda.gov


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