Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
000
FNUS54 KMAF 271940
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
240 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A warming and drying trend is underway that will carry through
the weekend. This afternoon, fire weather concerns are largely
mitigated by lower ERCs and fuel moisture, though elevated conditions
will persist through the lower Pecos River Valley where ERCs are
locally approaching the 75th percentile. Conditions improve after
sunset as winds become light. Critical RHs are expected across most
of the region through Monday, with locations from SE NM to the Big
Bend seeing only poor/fair nocturnal recovery. Fire weather concerns
increase Friday across the Guadalupe Mtns and adjacent areas as
westerly winds increase, with another round of more widespread near
critical/critical fire weather conditions possible Sunday and Monday.
Good to excellent recovery across eastern areas will limit the eastward
extent of fire weather concerns this weekend/early next week, with a
cold front Monday night/Tuesday providing relief areawide.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-280915-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
140 PM MDT Wed Mar 27 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 31 (-3) 72 (+13) 46 75
RH % (24h trend) 45 (-23) 9 (-5) 31 9
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 11 SW 7 SW 13 W 18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 6 S 15 SW 12 W 27
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 3 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 29 26 43 54
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6190 7460
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 22 W 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 136180 268560
Vent Category Very good Excellent
RFTI 2 3 3 7
RFTI Category Elevated Near Crit Near Crit Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below
15 percent. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ117-280915-
Chaves Plains-
140 PM MDT Wed Mar 27 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 30 (-5) 75 (+11) 44 82
RH % (24h trend) 68 (0) 10 (-1) 35 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 11 S 6 S 15 SW 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6 S 16 S 12 SW 17
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 3 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 27 24 36 43
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6620 10140
Transport Wnd (kts) S 23 SW 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 152260 243360
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 3 4 5
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around
80. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. North winds around 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around
70. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-280915-
Eddy Plains-
140 PM MDT Wed Mar 27 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 32 (-7) 77 (+10) 47 83
RH % (24h trend) 59 (-1) 9 (-2) 36 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 12 S 6 S 13 SW 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 6 S 15 S 11 SW 23
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 3 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 28 23 36 47
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6860 8170
Transport Wnd (kts) S 20 SW 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 137200 228760
Vent Category Very good Excellent
RFTI 3 3 4 7
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around
70. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ119-280915-
Lea-
140 PM MDT Wed Mar 27 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 30 (-6) 74 (+9) 45 82
RH % (24h trend) 90 (+21) 9 (-2) 50 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 10 S 7 S 14 S 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 6 S 15 S 15 SW 19
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 3 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 27 24 44 41
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6160 8610
Transport Wnd (kts) S 21 SW 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 129360 223860
Vent Category Very good Excellent
RFTI 3 3 3 6
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
around 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-280915-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
240 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024 /140 PM MDT Wed Mar 27 2024/
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 34 (-2) 71 (+15) 47 76
RH % (24h trend) 33 (-37) 9 (-6) 23 9
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 16 S 7 S 15 SW 20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 5 S 16 SW 21 W 34
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 3 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 24 19 31 48
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5580 7270
Transport Wnd (kts) S 19 W 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 106020 261720
Vent Category Very good Excellent
RFTI 4 3 5 8
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Critical Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West
winds around 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
Northwest winds 25 to 30 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs around 60.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
15 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-280915-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
240 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 34 (-5) 80 (+14) 46 87
RH % (24h trend) 37 (-24) 8 (-6) 47 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 11 SE 5 SE 12 SW 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 5 S 12 S 11 SW 15
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 3 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 26 20 33 35
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6050 8710
Transport Wnd (kts) S 18 SW 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 108900 217750
Vent Category Very good Excellent
RFTI 2 2 2 5
RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Elevated Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs
around 70. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds
15 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-280915-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
240 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 35 (-6) 79 (+10) 50 86
RH % (24h trend) 94 (+32) 8 (-5) 64 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 9 SE 5 S 12 S 14
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 5 S 11 S 15 SW 15
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 28 19 37 37
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6980 7690
Transport Wnd (kts) S 18 SW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 125640 176870
Vent Category Very good Excellent
RFTI 2 2 1 2
RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Not as warm. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs around 70. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around
70. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
$$