105
FNUS72 KMLB 281146
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Palm Bay Annex Brush Fire...Palm Bay FR
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
746 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 EDT on April 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Onshore (easterly) flow remains fully in place along the southern
Brevard coast today, with gusts from 20-25 mph during the
daylight hours. There remains a 20% chance of rain showers with no
lightning anticipated. In the vicinity of showers, winds may gust
to locally 30 mph and become briefly erratic. Dispersion will
remain very good with westward trajectories. Winds decrease
tonight to around 10-15 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 13 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 17 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....32 increasing to 73.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53  50  48  48  49  49  48  46  45
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............73  76  78  78  79  79  79  79  78
RH..............64  58  54  54  52  52  52  52  54
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..13  14  15  15  16  16  16  16  15
20 FT wind gust.17  18  21  21  22  22  22  22  21
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.0
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.17  17  18  18  17  17  17  17  17
Dispersion idx..32  54  75  74  73  72  72  72  71
LVORI...........2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....51 decreasing to 9.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 4 overnight.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........42     36     34     34     34     35
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............77     72     70     68     67     66
RH..............56     64     71     76     78     81
20 ft wind......E 15   E 12   E 10   E 9    E 8    E 8
20 ft wind gust.21     16     14
Mix hgt (ft)....4400   1600   400    500    500    400
Transport wind..E 16   E 15   E 14   E 14   E 13   E 12
Dispersion idx..51     10     10     9      8      8
LVORI...........2      3      3      3      4      4

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 5200 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....17 increasing to 43 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 63 in the late morning and
                    afternoon decreasing to 57 late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4 decreasing to 1 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........31     25     35     34     21     16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............66     69     76     80     82     82
RH..............81     78     60     52     47     47
20 ft wind......E 8    E 8    E 12   E 13   E 14   E 15
20 ft wind gust.       13     16     18     20     20
Mix hgt (ft)....500    900    3700   5100   5200   4600
Transport wind..E 12   SE 13  SE 16  SE 17  E 16   E 15
Dispersion idx..12     21     61     66     65     59
LVORI...........4      3      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Heil
Requested by...Brandon Mckee
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2412614.1/MLB
.DELDT 04/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brandon.mckee@palmbayflorida.org