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000
FXUS64 KMOB 220932
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
432 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

...New NEAR TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Tuesday)
Issued at 431 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

An upper level northwest flow will continue through Tuesday as an
upper trough continues to move off the east coast. This will
result in high pressure building at the surface today. The
northerly flow will continue to advect a cooler and drier airmass
into the region today. A light southerly flow returns on Tuesday
as the area of high pressure moves east. Highs today will be in
the upper 60s and low 70s and mid 70s on Tuesday. Lows tonight
will be in the low to mid 40s inland to mid 50s near the coast.
/13

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 431 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

The area remains dry through the remainder of the week.

Northwesterly flow aloft prevails through early Friday as the local
area remains on the periphery of an approaching ridge. Flow aloft
turns westerly to southwesterly by Friday afternoon as the weak
ridge aloft passes through the region. Down at the surface, a
surface high over the Southeast continues to gradually slide into
the western Atlantic during the middle part of the week. This high
maintains its grip on the region through the end of the work week
with onshore flow setting up overhead. A front drifts into the Mid
South and Southeast on Thursday, but hangs up to our north thanks to
the surface high nosing into the local area. Can`t rule out a few
showers sparking up in the afternoon hours this weekend as a few
shortwaves pivot across the ridge aloft with ample moisture
streaming into the region. That said, confidence in any showers this
upcoming weekend is too low to incorporate into the POP forecast at
this time.

Beach Note: Rip current risk remains low through Thursday and
increases to MODERATE by Friday. Increasing onshore flow late in the
week and over the weekend will lead to an increasing risk. RCMOS
probabilities indicate a high likelihood of the risk increasing to a
HIGH by Saturday morning at all local beaches (likely extending into
Sunday based on the increasing onshore flow). 07/mb

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 431 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

A moderate to strong northerly flow will decrease today
as high pressure builds into the area. A light to moderate
southeasterly flow develops on Tuesday, before becoming light and
variable by midweek. /13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      71  47  76  54  81  58  83  60 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   71  53  74  58  78  60  80  63 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      72  57  73  60  76  63  79  65 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   70  42  77  50  81  55  84  56 /   0   0   0   0   0   0  10   0
Waynesboro  69  42  77  51  81  55  84  58 /   0   0   0   0   0   0  10   0
Camden      67  41  75  50  79  55  81  57 /   0   0   0   0   0   0  10   0
Crestview   72  43  77  49  82  54  85  56 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for GMZ631-632.

     Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for GMZ650-655-
     670-675.

&&

$$

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