584
FNUS74 KMOB 071109
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto Block 7207 Buttercup Flats...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
609 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Mainly dry weather can be expected today over the burn site but
cannot rule out an isolated shower or thunderstorm this afternoon
as a weak upper level disturbance passes by to the north.
Southerly transport winds will persist today and tomorrow along
with mixing heights nearing 5kft this afternoon dropping to around
4kft on Wednesday afternoon. Dispersions over the burn area will
be generally good both this afternoon and again Wednesday
afternoon.

Fog potential and other remarks...Locally patchy fog will be
possible early this morning and again late tonight into early
Wednesday morning. Visibilities should remain greater than 4 miles
in any patchy fog.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1158-1585 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 20 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 8 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....65.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........67     55     50     52
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............83     87     88     88
RH..............70     59     55     55
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..12     14     14     14
20 FT wind gust.20     22     23     23
Mix hgt (ft)....3800   4900   4700   3800
Mix hgt (m).....1160   1490   1430   1160
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.20     20     18     18
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).9      9      8      8
Dispersion idx..62     69     66     60
LVORI...........3      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1158 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 5 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....60 decreasing to 10.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........38     32     34     59     74     81
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............85     79     75     74     73     73
RH..............61     74     87     93     97     93
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..12     9      8      7      7      6
20 FT wind gust.20     17     14     13     12     10
Mix hgt (ft)....3800   800    800    700    600    500
Mix hgt (m).....1160   240    240    210    180    150
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.20     16     14     13     12     12
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).9      7      6      6      5      5
Dispersion idx..60     10     9      10     8      8
LVORI...........1      4      5      6      7      7

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-1280 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 21 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 5 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....11 increasing to 64.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........79     77     76     57     49     50
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............73     77     84     89     91     90
RH..............93     85     70     57     54     54
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..6      7      10     14     16     16
20 FT wind gust.10     13     18     23     25     26
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1800   3300   3900   3900   3700
Mix hgt (m).....180    550    1010   1190   1190   1130
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.12     13     17     20     20     20
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).5      6      8      9      9      9
Dispersion idx..8      29     50     62     67     61
LVORI...........7      4      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Jonathan Howell (31)
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413311.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov