854
FXUS63 KPAH 280540
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1240 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- The next best chance for storms comes Sunday night through
  Monday, when our next system makes its approach and passage.

- Heavy rainfall averaging 1 to 2 inches may heighten the risk
  for localized flooding.

- South winds will have gust potential 25-35 mph Sunday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1240 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Updated aviation section for 06z TAF issuance.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 115 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Another low pressure system takes shape in the Plains and lifts
into the Great Lakes late this weekend. It will drive its cold
front into (Sunday night) and thru (Monday) the FA, bringing
showers/storms with it. The likeliest expectation is for
locally heavy rainfall producing 1-2 inch totals on average.
Some localized flooding potential exists, esp over portions of
SEMO, where the best rains fell earlier today. WPC has a SLGT
Risk of exceeding FFG there. Strong storm potential cannot be
ruled out, but generally looks to stay closer to the track of
the low, or west of our area.

Generally zonal westerlies steer the sensible weather forecast
the remainder of the coming week. This means a continuation of
our seasonal warmth, along with a continuation of an almost
daily on and off period of rain chances. Highs from the mid 70s
to lower 80s and lows from the mid 50s to lower 60s will be most
commonplace.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1240 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

VFR conditions at all TAF sites through the TAF period with
SCT-BKN mid and high clouds. VCTS at KCGI/KMVN after 04z. South
winds overnight at 10-15kts with some gusts near 20 kts. LLWS
expected at KCGI/KPAH/KMVN through 13z at 020/20040kt. South
winds will increase after 13z to 15-20kts with gusts of
25-35kts, decreasing to 10-15kts and becoming less gusty after
22z.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$



AVIATION...RST