Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 171011

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
511 AM CDT Sat Mar 17 2018

...12z Aviation Forecast Update...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 124 AM CDT Sat Mar 17 2018

Quiet weather is expected today with seasonable temperatures. The
only area that may see a little more gloomy skies will be across
central Missouri into the far northeastern Ozarks Region. Clouds
on the back side of the exiting low pressure system will move
through that area. The cloud cover may keep the temperatures in
the 40s. The rest of the area will see sunshine with highs in the
upper 50s to lower 60s. High pressure moves on by the region
tonight with light winds and clear skies. Temperatures will fall
into the middle 30s which is about average for this time of year.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 124 AM CDT Sat Mar 17 2018

Our next storm system quickly moves out into the Central Plains
Region Sunday into Monday. Moisture will surge northward late
Sunday and showers will develop from southwest to northeast across
the region. Sunday will not be a complete wash out but expect rain
likely by Sunday evening along a retreating warm frontal boundary.
There could be a few elevated storms along the warm front and
could be just enough instability for some small hail. There is a
marginal risk for a strong storm or two Sunday evening into Sunday
night across portions of southeast Kansas into southwest Missouri.

It will become breezy again Sunday night into Monday with a strong
low pressure system over Kansas. Rain and isolated storms will be
likely through Monday as the system slowly moves eastward. The
center of the system moves over the area Monday evening and Monday
night with showers. Most of the showers will end Monday night but
there could be a few leftover into Tuesday morning on the back
side of the exiting shortwave trough. Tuesday will be cooler and
below average lasting into Wednesday. We will be dry for Wednesday
and Thursday ahead of our next storm system which will be more
rainfall by the end of the week.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 439 AM CDT Sat Mar 17 2018

VFR conditions will continue over the next 24 hours for most of
the area. There may be a deck of MVFR ceilings across central
Missouri today but will not affect the TAF sites. Winds will start
out westerly and gradually shift northwesterly today and then
notherly this evening between 5 and 10 knots. There are no
aviation concerns for the next 24 hours with this update.




SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Griffin is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.