Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 250001

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
701 PM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 219 PM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018

A weak area of low pressure with a cold front was located over
eastern Kansas this afternoon. A narrow band of 70+ degree weather
was mostly covering our CWA with cloud cover associated with the
slow departing low to the east and also cooler air and cloud cover
behind the front in western Kansas. An upper level wave was located
over the northern plains and was aiding in the development of rain
showers over eastern Nebraska and northern Kansas.

The cold front will push into the area tonight and should move
through dry. The rain maker will be behind the front as the upper
level wave closes off and begins to swing through on Wednesday
into Wednesday night. Some areas of far western Missouri into
southeast Kansas may see some showers between 4 am and 8 am,
however most locations will get the rain staring after 8 am.

Not really much instability for thunderstorms as this system moves
through, but could see up to three quarters of an inch of rain in
the west and a quarter inch in the east by the time the rain ends
Wednesday night.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 219 PM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018

Another quick moving shortwave will be on the heels of the Wed/Wed
night shortwave by late in the day Thursday into Thursday night. A
bit more instability late Thursday to have some thunder mentioned,
but not enough for severe storms.

After the Thursday night system, it looks to be dry with a
moderating temperature trend. Upper ridging will build into the
area over the weekend, with the first weekend in awhile that will
be precipitation free. We will also see temperatures warming back
into the 70s.

After the ridge passes to the east, we will begin to see a pattern
change early next week as a trough digs deep in the western U.S.
with broad southwest flow aloft and a good return of Gulf moisture
into the area in the lower levels. Will need to monitor for the
potential of severe storms outside of the 7 day forecast by the
middle of next week (Wed-Thu) as the upper system begins to lift
northeast into the plains.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 642 PM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: Weak sfc low pressure will move through the
taf area late in the period. Lowering vfr ceilings are expected
to become low end mvfr or potentially ifr by 18z as light rain
coverage increases.




SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...DSA is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.