Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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000
FNUS73 KUNR 161711
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for test test...nws
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
1111 AM MDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 MDT on April 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms can be
expected across much of the area this morning, with activity
tapering off from west to east from midday through the evening
hours. Strong north to northwest winds can be expected from parts
of northeast Wyoming to the southwest South Dakota plains, with
gusts to around 60 mph in some areas. For the rest of the week,
colder temperatures, gusty winds, and occasional chances for rain
and snow showers can be expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    early in the afternoon, then chance of rain
                    showers early in the afternoon. Slight chance
                    of rain showers late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Windy. Northwest winds 35 to 40 mph. Gusts up
                    to 59 mph decreasing to 46 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................50 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900 to 3400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 55 to 65 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.

TIME (MDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........91  91  91  91  90  89
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............50  50  50  50  50  50
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............48  49  51  54  58  58
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    early in the afternoon, then chance of rain
                    showers early in the afternoon. Slight chance
                    of rain showers late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Windy. Northwest winds 35 to 40 mph. Gusts up
                    to 59 mph decreasing to 46 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................50 percent.
LAL.................1.
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    early in the afternoon, then chance of rain
                    showers early in the afternoon. Slight chance
                    of rain showers late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Windy. Northwest winds 35 to 40 mph. Gusts up
                    to 59 mph decreasing to 46 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................50 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900 to 3400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 55 to 65 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900 to 3400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 55 to 65 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
RH..............64  64  61  57  53  53
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..37  37  37  36  36  33
20 FT wind gust.58  59  58  56  52  46
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.2 2.9
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.60  62  62  61  59  55
Haines index....2   2   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Windy. Northwest winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts
                    to around 41 mph decreasing to around 20 mph
                    with gusts to around 28 mph late in the
                    evening.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600 to 1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 45 to 55 mph decreasing to 35 to 40
                    mph early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........88  73  57  42  32  22  13  13  13  14  29  44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............57  56  51  49  48  47  46  45  43  42  40  40
RH..............51  51  56  58  56  53  53  53  53  50  52  52
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..30  26  24  22  21  20  20  18  18  18  18  20
20 FT wind gust.41  38  33  31  29  28  28  26  26  25  26  26
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 2.0 1.4 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.51  45  39  36  33  33  33  32  32  31  31  31
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 28 mph.
CWR.................25 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5800 to 6300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 30 to 35 mph increasing to around 40
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good increasing to excellent in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58  58  57  57  58  59  61  66  71  76  72  68
Weather cov.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............40  39  41  43  47  48  49  49  49  48  48  47
RH..............50  54  55  51  47  46  44  44  46  47  46  45
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..20  20  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18
20 FT wind gust.28  26  26  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.5 2.4 3.2 3.9 4.6 5.3 5.6 6.0 6.3 5.8 5.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.31  32  32  32  30  29  26  26  28  30  32  36
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of snow
showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds around 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow showers. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers. Lows in the
mid 20s. Highs in the mid 40s. North winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Warmer. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower
60s.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the lower 60s.

$$
Forecaster...SE
Requested by...jeff johnson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2411113.0/UNR
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jeffrey.johnson@noaa.gov


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