Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 271615
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1115 AM CDT Sun May 27 2018

.UPDATE...
FOR MORNING DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Not much change in forecast thinking today with another round of
scattered convection expected this afternoon. Coverage may be a
little bit less than yesterday and with very weak shear and CAPE
values generally less than 1000 J/kg most storms should be rather
short lived although some heavy downpours are a possibility. The
highest coverage should be across the eastern forecast
area/Cumberland Plateau area where storms are already popping up,
but at least isolated cells are possible anywhere in the area this
afternoon.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Obs trends indicate conditions are becoming conducive for MVFR
fog development within the next few hours. Calm to light and
variable winds with dewpoint depressions less than 5 degrees are
noted, with CSV already seeing VIS drop to 8SM. Will need to
monitor for possible IFR VIS at BNA and MQY where decent rainfall
was observed earlier in the day. Afternoon convection is expected
to return after 18Z tomorrow.


&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......Hawblitzel
AVIATION........31



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