Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 251120
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
620 AM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018

.DISCUSSION...
12Z TAFs.

&&

.AVIATION...
Widespread showers will affect the airports this morning with
some isolated thunderstorms possible in the southwest (mainly
KSPS). Although most areas are VFR even in the rain, there are
areas of MVFR and pockets of IFR. The probability of IFR is not
high enough to mention in the TAFs, but it not out of the
question, especially at KOKC and KPNC. Rain will move out from
west to east through the day. Cloudiness will be a little slower
to move out, and although conditions will generally be VFR after
the rain moves out, there is some potential for MVFR ceilings at
KPNC through the day. Skies will clear and winds will become light
this evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 437 AM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms continue to move
east and spread slowly south across the area. These will continue
across the area today with most areas receiving some rainfall
before moving out of the area this afternoon. Another front moves
through on Thursday night with some potential of precipitation,
although not as widespread as today`s event.

A larger scale upper-level trough develops over the western United
States this weekend and early next week, although there are
differences in the specific evolution and timing of when this may
begin to bring the highest storm chances into our area, although
both the GFS and ECMWF show some potential for storms as early as
Monday. Otherwise, there remains enough timing differences to not
have high confidence in the timing in later periods.

Clouds and precipitation will keep temperatures cool today. It
will be a little warmer, but still below climatology Thursday and
Friday. It will begin feeling more seasonable this weekend and
into early next week as longer duration southerly low-level flow
will develop.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  57  40  70  44 /  90   0   0  20
Hobart OK         61  40  73  42 /  80   0   0  20
Wichita Falls TX  61  42  74  46 /  80   0   0  10
Gage OK           60  39  69  38 /  50   0  10  10
Ponca City OK     54  38  68  40 /  90  10  10  20
Durant OK         58  45  70  48 /  70   0   0  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$


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