Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KTWC 272119
AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
219 PM MST Sun May 27 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Expect dry conditions into next weekend. Daytime
temperatures will trend upward through Tuesday, then above normal
temperatures continuing the rest of the week. Gusty winds should
return the second half of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Our pattern will maintain some form of troughiness
northwest of our area with a strengthening ridge slowly building
in from Mexico. A weak impulse northwest of our area will help
tighten the surface gradient again Thursday and/or Friday with
gusty winds in the afternoon. Otherwise, a gradual heating trend
through the week will top out next weekend with thicknesses
supporting a 105+ from Tucson into the lower deserts by next
Sunday. This decade the earliest 105 at TUS is May 21st, with the
latest June 15th, so next Sunday (June 3rd) would be in the
ballpark.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 29/00Z.
Mostly clear with some patchy cirrus spreading in from the
southwest overnight. Surface wind this afternoon and early
evening swly to nwly 8-18 kts with occasional gusts near 25 kts.
Surface wind variable in direction mainly less than 10 kts at
other times. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Dry conditions into next weekend. Expect normal
wind trends early in the week, with gusty winds at times the
latter part of this week.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

Meyer/Rasmussen

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