Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 221950
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
350 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

...Warmer on Monday and Still Dry...

.DISCUSSION...
Sunday afternoon relative humidity 15-25 percent, dry vegetation,
and winds gusting 15-20 mph in some locations have resulted in
elevated fire danger. Winds will decrease and relative humidity
will increase after sunset tonight. Elevated fire wx conditions
are again expected Monday, with relative humidity falling to
25-40 percent. Cooler temperatures, increased humidity levels,
and a chance of light rain showers are expected on Tuesday.


MIZ037>039-043>045-230830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
350 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....28-33.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 400-900 ft AGL.
                    Inland, 5400-5900 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........28-33 percent near Lake Michigan and 20-25
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 8
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5500-6000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 0400, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 300-800 ft AGL.
                    Inland, 4300-4800 ft AGL decreasing to
                    1100-1600 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-500 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 3300-3800 ft AGL.
                    Inland, 4400-4900 ft AGL increasing to
                    6700-7200 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-230830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
350 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....27-32.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) decreasing to 0 (poor) overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0400, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 45.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......40 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-230830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
350 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....35-40.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 5200-5700 ft AGL.
                    Inland, 4000-4500 ft AGL increasing to
                    6900-7400 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) increasing to 1100 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2200, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 3400-3900 ft AGL decreasing
                    to 1400-1900 ft AGL overnight.
                    Inland, 5600-6100 ft AGL decreasing to
                    1600-2100 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-230830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
350 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....33-38.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........23-28 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL increasing to 6500-7000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good) increasing to 900 (excellent) in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 0100, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 46.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-230830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
350 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....34-39.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL increasing to 6800-7300 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) increasing to 1100 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2100, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL decreasing to 1500-2000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.11 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. North winds 8 to
13 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest winds
6 to 11 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of snow showers overnight.
Lows in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
50s. Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.

$$


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