Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FNUS74 KEWX 151351
FWSEWX

Spot Forecast for Joe Small...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
851 AM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

Forecast is based on request time of 0900 CDT on April 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry air remains in place today as northerly winds become gusty this
morning into the early afternoon hours. This will result in elevated
fire weather conditions over the burn area today due to low humidities
and gusty northwest winds. Wind speeds are expected to decrease by
late afternoon. Light winds and cool temperatures remain intact
tonight, along with excellent humidity recovery. Southerly winds will
increase on Monday and with dry air in place, elevated fire weather
conditions are in store.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Expect gusts up
                    to 13 mph until 1400 local.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 10 mph. Expect gusts up
                    to 15 mph until 1400 local.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 3000 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast 9
                    to 17 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 OR or low to moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............48  51  54  58  62  65  68  69  70
RH..............51  46  41  34  30  27  25  25  25
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  N
20 FT wind spd..6   8   9   9   8   7   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.    10  12  13  14  12
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  N
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   6   7   7   6   5   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   8   9   11  13  10  5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.3 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
Transp wind spd.10  13  15  16  17  16  14  12  9
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming southeast around 5 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming southeast around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......30000 ft AGL decreasing to 200 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 OR or low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............70  67  64  61  59  56  53  51  51  50  49  48
RH..............27  32  37  42  47  55  61  66  66  68  71  74
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   NE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 3.3 2.5 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  S
Transp wind spd.7   5   5   3   5   5   6   6   6   5   5   5
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming south 5 to 12 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 12 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL increasing to 3800 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 13 mph increasing to 14 to 18 mph
                    late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 to 5 OR or low to moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............47  47  48  56  60  64  68  73  75  79  80  81
RH..............74  76  83  69  67  58  51  41  38  35  34  33
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   5   6   7   9   10  11  11  11  11
20 FT wind gust.                        11  12  13  13  13  13
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   3   4   4   5   7   8   8   8   8   8
Eye lvl wnd gst.                5       8   9   10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.9 3.3 3.9 4.1 4.6 4.8 4.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.5   6   8   10  13  15  17  18  18  17  16  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5

$$
Forecaster...24
Requested by...Dispatcher
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1806724.0/EWX
.EMAIL dteel@tfs.tamu.edu



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