Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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000
FNUS74 KSJT 191452
FWSSJT

Spot Forecast for Cason wood...Texas forest service
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
952 AM CDT Sat May 19 2018

Forecast is based on request time of 1000 CDT on May 19.
Please contact our office at 325-944-3030 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Fire weather concerns will be minimal through early next week.
Minimum relative humidity values will remain above 35 percent through the
afternoon, then increase to near 80 percent tonight for San Angelo.
Gusty southerly winds today will become southeast tonight and weaken
before becoming breezy again Sunday afternoon. Top wind sustained speeds
should reach around 15 mph with peak gusts around 25 mph. Slight chance of
a thunderstorm today, with increasing chances late this evening through
early Sunday morning, with heavy rains and strong, erratic winds possible.
Rain and isolated thunderstorms possible during the rest of the day Sunday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-80 percent) in the morning
                    becoming mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
LAL.................1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........38 percent.
20-FOOT WINDS.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Haines Index........2 to 6 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to high potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)        10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%)...........80     50     33     34
Weather cov.......S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type......RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov..........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
LAL...............2      2      2      2
Temp..............79     85     89     92
RH................60     50     44     38
20 ft wind........S 12   S 13   S 14   S 15
20 ft wind gust...25     25     25     25
Haines index......4      4      2      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then chance of showers and thunderstorms.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1900, then 9-15 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........90 percent.
20-FOOT WINDS.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25
                    mph early in the evening, becoming 5 to 10 mph
                    after midnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)        6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%)...........42     49     61     66     68     73
Weather cov.......S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type......RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov..........S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
LAL...............2      3      3      3      3      3
Temp..............91     84     81     75     73     71
RH................40     49     56     71     76     84
20 ft wind........S 14   S 12   SE 10  SE 10  SE 10  SE 10
20 ft wind gust...25     25     20     15     15     15
Haines index......2      3      3      3      2      3

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning,
                    then showers and thunderstorms likely.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 0700, then 16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........51 percent.
20-FOOT WINDS.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph becoming 10 to 15
                    mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)        6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%)...........77     80     79     78     76     71
Weather cov.......CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type......RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov..........CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
LAL...............3      4      4      4      4      4
Temp..............69     70     76     77     84     83
RH................90     84     66     67     51     51
20 ft wind........SE 10  SE 8   SE 9   SE 10  SE 12  SE 12
20 ft wind gust...10     10     15     15     20     20
Haines index......3      2      3      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...HARRISON
Requested by...San angelo
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1810315.0/SJT



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