Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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424
FNUS74 KLZK 190943
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for PCS Andy knight...U.S.FOREST SERVICE
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
443 AM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service Immediately.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions will again be seen this Thu...though winds will be
lower than seen on Wed. Winds will gradually decrease by
tonight...switching from the north to a more easterly direction by
tonight.


.TODAY...

Temperature.........48 at ignition...Max 62.
RH..................46 percent at ignition...Min 38 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Stability class.....B.
20 Foot Winds.......Winds north at 8 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    North winds 6 to 8 mph.
LVORI...............1 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Dispersion..........29 increasing to 34 in the afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 27 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.
Eye level winds.....North winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5458 ft MSL.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  51  53  56  58  59  60  59
RH..............46  43  41  39  38  38  38  38
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.14  14  14  14  14  13  12  10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Temperature.........Min 40.
RH..................Max 80 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 12 mph.
Stability class.....E.
20 Foot Winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Dispersion..........24 decreasing to 5 early in the evening.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5353 ft MSL.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............59  58  55  52  49  48  47  46  45  44  43  42
RH..............39  39  46  53  60  62  64  65  69  71  74  76
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   8   9   10  12  12  12  10  10  12
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.FRIDAY...

Temperature.........Max 65.
RH..................Min 34 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 20 mph.
Stability class.....B.
20 Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 8 mph.
LVORI...............1 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Dispersion..........30 increasing to 50.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Eye level winds.....East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4706 ft MSL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............41  41  44  48  51  54  57  60  61  63  64  63
RH..............78  80  71  62  55  49  44  40  38  36  34  36
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.14  15  16  16  17  18  20  20  18  18  17  17
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...W Gilmore
Requested by...RL Self
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807017.0/LZK
.EMAIL rlself@fs.fed.us



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