Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 191035
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
535 AM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Patchy Fog is expected through mid morning across
portions of North Mississippi and West TN. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms will be possible during the
day on Sunday mainly along and south of the I-40
corridor. Expect temperatures to remain slightly below
normal with highs generally in the upper 80s.

By late Sunday night, a cold front will begin to push
through the Mid-South and ignite widespread showers
and thunderstorms. A few storms could be strong with wind
and hail. Behind the front, drier and much cooler air
will move into the region on Tuesday and hang around
through the end of the week. Expect below normal
temperatures through this period with highs in the
mid 80s with lows in the low to mid 60s.



ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-192315-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
535 AM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     20           60           60
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.07         0.24         0.49
Precip Dur (hrs)      1            5            9
Precip Begins         7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      88 (-1)      72 (+1)      87
RH % (24h Trend)      60 (+4)      100 (+4)     65
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var                   S 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 2-6       Lgt/Var      SW 8-12
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    2021                      1263
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   6630                      4145
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    2107                      1350
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   6913                      4429
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  3                      SW  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  7                      SW 21
Vent Index (m2/s)     6321                      12150
Category Day          3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 84                        84
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SE  3                     SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SE  6                     SW 22
Dispersion Index      15           15           60
LAL                   3            4            4
LASI                  3            3            3
Stability             B            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows around 70. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-192315-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
535 AM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           60           70
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.14         0.19         0.45
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            5            9
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      88 (+1)      72 (+1)      87
RH % (24h Trend)      64 (-1)      100 (+1)     65
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var                   S 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 2-6        Lgt/Var      SW 7-11
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1924                      1113
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   6312                      3652
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1986                      1175
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   6516                      3856
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  3                      S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  7                      S 20
Vent Index (m2/s)     5958                      10575
Category Day          3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 84                        85
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S  3                      SW  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S  7                      SW 21
Dispersion Index      18           10           38
LAL                   3            4            4
LASI                  3            3            3
Stability             B            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-192315-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
535 AM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     20           40           60
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.01         0.08         0.65
Precip Dur (hrs)      1            2            8
Precip Begins         1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      88 (+3)      71 (+2)      85
RH % (24h Trend)      57 (-6)      100 (+1)     68
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var                   S 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 6-10
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    2020                      798
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   6628                      2619
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    2142                      921
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   7029                      3021
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  2                      SW  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5                      SW 18
Vent Index (m2/s)     4284                      7368
Category Day          3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 83                        82
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S  2                      SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S  4                      SW 22
Dispersion Index      11           6            48
LAL                   2            4            4
LASI                  3            3            2
Stability             B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 70. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. North winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-192315-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
535 AM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           40           60
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.08         0.15         0.57
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            2            8
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      88 (+1)      72 (0)       87
RH % (24h Trend)      57 (-3)      100 (+2)     66
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var                   S 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 6-10
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    2100                      900
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   6889                      2952
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    2222                      1023
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   7291                      3355
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  3                      SW  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6                      SW 18
Vent Index (m2/s)     6666                      8184
Category Day          3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 83                        82
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SE  2                     SW  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SE  4                     SW 21
Dispersion Index      16           7            43
LAL                   3            4            4
LASI                  3            3            2
Stability             B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-192315-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
535 AM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           40           70
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.14         0.14         0.36
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            2            5
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      87 (+3)      72 (+1)      88
RH % (24h Trend)      65 (-6)      100 (+1)     63
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var                   S 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 6-10
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1599                      1100
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   5247                      3610
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1671                      1172
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   5483                      3846
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  4                     S  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  9                     S 16
Vent Index (m2/s)     6684                      8204
Category Day          3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 84                        83
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S  3                      SW  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S  6                      SW 19
Dispersion Index      25           9            33
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI                  3            3            3
Stability             B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-192315-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
535 AM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           30           60
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.16         0.13         0.22
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            2            5
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      88 (+3)      72 (0)       89
RH % (24h Trend)      58 (-6)      100 (+4)     60
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var                   S 2-6
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1741                      1241
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   5712                      4072
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1865                      1368
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   6119                      4487
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  5                     SW  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 10                     SW 13
Vent Index (m2/s)     9325                      8208
Category Day          4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 82                        83
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S  3                      SW  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S  6                      SW 17
Dispersion Index      29           6            34
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI                  3            3            2
Stability             B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$


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