Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 141953
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
253 PM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front near a Memphis to Jackson line Sunday afternoon will
surge south early Monday morning, spreading cool conditions
through all of the Midsouth. Rain will continue areawide on Monday,
with greatest amounts to the north of the I-40 corridor. Drier
conditions are forecast for the midweek periods.


ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-151115-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
253 PM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     90           90           20           30
Precip Type           tstms        showers      showers      showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.39         0.43         0.06         0.03
Precip Dur (hrs)      6            11           2            2
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      55 (+2)      55 (-8)      42           54
RH % (24h Trend)      97 (0)       75 (-6)      89           52
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                N 8-12 G18                NE 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      N 9-13 G18   N 6-10       N 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 389                       447
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                1275                      1465
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 468                       529
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1537                      1736
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N  7                      NE  7
Transport Wnd (mph)                N 16                      NE 15
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3276                      3703
Category Day                       2                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              55                        54
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N 10                      NE  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N 21                      NE 14
Dispersion Index      17           43           22           35
LAL                   2            2            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2            4
Stability             D            D            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            1            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows
in the lower 40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows
in the mid 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph late in the
afternoon becoming light and variable.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
65 percent. East winds around 5 mph becoming southwest late in
the morning.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-151115-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
253 PM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     80           70           40           60
Precip Type           tstms        showers      showers      showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.60         0.33         0.11         0.24
Precip Dur (hrs)      6            9            3            8
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      60 (+4)      60 (-8)      45           51
RH % (24h Trend)      99 (0)       80 (-3)      92           64
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                N 7-11 G18                NE 7-11
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      N 10-14 G20  N 8-12       N 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 407                       363
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                1336                      1192
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 469                       426
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1539                      1396
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N  7                      NE  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                N 15                      NE 18
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3283                      3408
Category Day                       2                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              60                        56
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N 11                      NE  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N 24                      NE 19
Dispersion Index      10           40           31           39
LAL                   2            2            2            1
LASI                  3            2            2            2
Stability             D            D            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            1            2            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows
in the upper 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Highs around 60. Minimum
RH 67 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the lower
50s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 58 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-151115-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
253 PM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     80           90           20           30
Precip Type           tstms        showers      showers      showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.36         0.67         0.05         0.02
Precip Dur (hrs)      6            11           2            2
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      57 (+5)      57 (-6)      42           55
RH % (24h Trend)      99 (0)       81 (-5)      91           50
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                N 5-9                     NE 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      N 7-11       N 5-9        N 3-7
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 354                       523
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                1163                      1717
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 476                       647
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1561                      2122
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NW  7                     NE  4
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 15                     NE  9
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3332                      2588
Category Day                       2                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              57                        54
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N  8                      NE  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N 18                      NE 12
Dispersion Index      15           33           21           28
LAL                   2            2            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2            4
Stability             D            D            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows
in the lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon
becoming light and variable.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows
in the mid 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph late in the
afternoon becoming light and variable.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph becoming southwest late
in the morning.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs around 60.
Minimum RH 57 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-151115-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
253 PM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     80           70           40           50
Precip Type           tstms        showers      showers      showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.51         0.37         0.07         0.10
Precip Dur (hrs)      7            9            3            2
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      62 (+8)      62 (-6)      45           55
RH % (24h Trend)      100 (+1)     83 (0)       93           58
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                N 5-9                     NE 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      N 8-12       N 5-9        N 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 316                       347
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                1037                      1139
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 437                       469
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1434                      1538
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N  5                      NE  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                N 10                      NE 14
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2185                      2814
Category Day                       2                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              60                        55
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N  9                      NE  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N 19                      NE 14
Dispersion Index      19           27           26           34
LAL                   2            2            1            1
LASI                  3            2            2            2
Stability             D            D            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            2            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Light and variable winds becoming
west around 5 mph late in the morning.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 60 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-151115-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
253 PM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     70           60           40           60
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        showers      showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.44         0.16         0.08         0.35
Precip Dur (hrs)      6            3            2            8
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      66 (+8)      66 (-9)      48           55
RH % (24h Trend)      98 (0)       80 (+6)      95           65
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                NW 4-8 G17                NE 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      N 9-13 G19   N 7-11       N 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 381                       327
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                1249                      1073
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 453                       399
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1485                      1308
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N  4                      NE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                N  9                      NE 10
Vent Index (m2/s)                  1812                      1995
Category Day                       1                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              67                        60
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N  9                      NE  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N 19                      NE 18
Dispersion Index      24           20           32           28
LAL                   2            2            2            1
LASI                  3            2            2            2
Stability             D            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            1            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 64 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-151115-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
253 PM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     60           40           30           60
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        showers      showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.24         0.05         0.07         0.29
Precip Dur (hrs)      3            2            2            8
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      69 (+10)     69 (-6)      51           59
RH % (24h Trend)      94 (+2)      81 (+15)     93           64
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   NE 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      N 5-9        N 5-9        N 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 661                       253
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                2168                      831
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 787                       377
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                2581                      1237
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  4                      NE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                W  9                      NE 10
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3148                      1885
Category Day                       2                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              70                        61
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               W  8                      NE  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               W 18                      NE 14
Dispersion Index      22           36           28           23
LAL                   2            2            2            1
LASI                  3            2            2            2
Stability             E            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

AC3/PWB



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