Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 191109
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
509 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

.DISCUSSION...

A cold front will bring much colder temperatures to the Mid-South
by tonight. Rain will gradually change over to snow late this
afternoon into this evening as the colder air filters into the
region. Snow accumulations will be possible over portions of
Northeast Arkansas, the Missouri Bootheel, and Northwest
Tennessee. Most of the winter precipitation will come to an end
by midnight. However, patchy freezing drizzle and flurries will
continue during the overnight hours tonight into Sunday morning.

Arctic high pressure will then settle over the Mid-South for the
remainder of the weekend. Highs on Sunday will range from the
upper 20s to the upper 30s. Lows Sunday Night will be in the 20s.

Temperatures will moderate on Monday and Tuesday but another
reinforcing cold front will push into the region Tuesday Night
into Wednesday. The front will bring additional chances for rain
to the area. Rain could transition to snow before ending as colder
temperatures filter into the area Wednesday evening.

Below normal temperatures will occur for the remainder of the week
as Arctic high pressure rebuilds over the area.

ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-192315-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
509 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       PCldy        MClear
Precip Chance (%)     90           50           0
Precip Type           tstms        snow/fz ra   NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.68         0.04         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      12           2
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      53 (+3)      23 (-25)     32
RH % (24h Trend)      80 (+10)     93 (-6)      50
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   W 7-11 G20                N 7-11 G17
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   N 14-18 G27  N 16-20 G28  N 3-7
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    568                       697
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   1862                      2287
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    647                       777
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   2123                      2550
Transport Wnd (m/s)   N 15                      N  4
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 35                      N  9
Vent Index (m2/s)     9705                      3108
Category Day          4                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 47                        27
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  NW 12                     N  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  NW 28                     N 11
Dispersion Index      49           70           46
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  2            2            4
Stability             D            D            C
Stagnation Index      0            0            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain showers likely. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum
RH 80 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain showers. Lows in the upper 30s. South winds
10 to 15 mph becoming west after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in
the upper 30s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of flurries. Partly cloudy.
Lows in the upper 20s. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of rain or snow. Partly sunny. Highs in the
upper 30s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-192315-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
509 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip Chance (%)     70           40           0
Precip Type           tstms        snow/rain    NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.47         0.01         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      7            1
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   12 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      56 (+3)      25 (-25)     36
RH % (24h Trend)      80 (+6)      88 (-12)     48
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   W 7-11 G18                N 8-12 G18
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   NW 15-19 G27 NW 15-19 G26 N 3-7
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    785                       711
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   2576                      2332
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    847                       774
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   2779                      2539
Transport Wnd (m/s)   N 15                      N  4
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 35                      N  9
Vent Index (m2/s)     12705                     3096
Category Day          4                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 51                        29
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  W 13                      N  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  W 28                      N 12
Dispersion Index      53           66           49
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  2            2            4
Stability             D            D            C
Stagnation Index      0            0            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
mid 50s. Minimum RH 82 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain showers. Lows in the upper 30s. South winds
10 to 15 mph becoming west after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of rain showers. Cloudy. Highs around 40.
Minimum RH 61 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain and flurries. Partly
cloudy. Lows around 30. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A slight chance of rain or snow. Partly sunny. Highs in
the lower 40s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-192315-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
509 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     90           90           0
Precip Type           tstms        snow/fz ra   flurries
Precip Amount (in)    0.79         0.14         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      12           6
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      57 (+10)     23 (-25)     31
RH % (24h Trend)      84 (+11)     95 (-5)      50
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 5-9                    N 8-12 G19
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   NW 11-15 G27 NW 16-20 G29 N 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    434                       764
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   1424                      2507
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    555                       887
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   1821                      2911
Transport Wnd (m/s)   N 13                      N  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 30                      N 10
Vent Index (m2/s)     7215                      4435
Category Day          3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 50                        26
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  W 12                      N  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  W 27                      N 14
Dispersion Index      42           71           52
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  2            2            4
Stability             D            D            C
Stagnation Index      1            0            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 40. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 74 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain showers. Lows around 40. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of rain showers. Cloudy. Highs in the lower
40s. Minimum RH 62 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain and a slight chance of
flurries. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 40. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of rain or snow. Partly sunny. Highs in the
upper 30s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-192315-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
509 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     90           60           0
Precip Type           tstms        snow/rain    NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.75         0.08         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      12           3
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      58 (+8)      24 (-25)     33
RH % (24h Trend)      80 (+7)      90 (-10)     47
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 6-10                   N 9-13 G19
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   NW 11-15 G26 NW 15-19 G27 N 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    524                       700
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   1718                      2295
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    646                       824
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   2121                      2705
Transport Wnd (m/s)   W  8                      N  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 17                      N 12
Vent Index (m2/s)     5168                      4120
Category Day          3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 54                        27
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  W 12                      N  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  W 26                      N 14
Dispersion Index      51           70           54
LAL                   5            1            1
LASI                  2            2            3
Stability             D            D            C
Stagnation Index      1            1            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 74 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain showers likely. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum
RH 60 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain and flurries. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A slight chance of rain or snow. Partly sunny. Highs in
the lower 40s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-192315-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
509 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MClear
Precip Chance (%)     80           40           0
Precip Type           tstms        snow/rain    NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.51         0.01         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      7            1
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   12 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      59 (+3)      26 (-28)     37
RH % (24h Trend)      74 (0)       81 (-19)     48
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 7-11                   N 8-12 G19
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   NW 13-17 G27 NW 15-19 G26 N 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    821                       700
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   2695                      2298
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    893                       773
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   2931                      2537
Transport Wnd (m/s)   W 12                      N  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 26                      N 13
Vent Index (m2/s)     10716                     4638
Category Day          4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 56                        30
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  W 13                      N  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  W 29                      N 15
Dispersion Index      82           69           53
LAL                   5            1            1
LASI                  2            2            4
Stability             D            D            C
Stagnation Index      0            1            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. North winds
around 5 mph becoming east after midnight.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
mid 50s. Minimum RH 79 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain showers likely. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum
RH 61 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain and flurries. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A slight chance of rain or snow. Mostly sunny. Highs in
the mid 40s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-192315-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
509 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MClear
Precip Chance (%)     90           50           0
Precip Type           tstms        snow/rain    NONE
Precip Amount (in)    1.00         0.01         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      7            2
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      61 (+5)      27 (-26)     37
RH % (24h Trend)      64 (-9)      83 (-17)     44
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 7-11                    N 8-12 G18
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   W 9-13 G22   NW 13-17 G24 N 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    731                       667
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   2399                      2188
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    855                       792
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   2805                      2600
Transport Wnd (m/s)   W 11                      NW  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 24                      NW 14
Vent Index (m2/s)     9405                      4752
Category Day          4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 60                        29
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW 12                     NW  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 26                     NW 16
Dispersion Index      74           72           57
LAL                   5            1            1
LASI                  2            2            3
Stability             D            D            C
Stagnation Index      1            1            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
mid 50s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
62 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph becoming north in the
afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain likely and a slight chance of flurries.
Lows in the lower 30s. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. West winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A slight chance of rain or snow. Mostly sunny. Highs in
the mid 40s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

AC3



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