Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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307
FNUS54 KMEG 181953
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
253 PM CDT Sat Aug 18 2018

.DISCUSSION...

A weak cold front will stall over the Mid-South through Sunday afternoon
with rain chances remaining mainly south of I-40. Some dense fog is
possible along and north of I-40 later tonight and early Sunday. An upper
level disturbance will move through Sunday night with scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms. A cold front will sweep through on
Monday with numerous showers and thunderstorms followed by drier and
cooler weather by midweek. Minimum afternoon relative humidities will
remain above 50 percent through Monday. Winds will be light through
Sunday and increase to 10 to 15 mph from the southwest on Monday.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-191130-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
253 PM CDT Sat Aug 18 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            60           60
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.21         0.61
Precip Dur (hrs)                                5            9
Precip Begins                                   6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends                                     Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      71 (0)       87 (+1)      73           86
RH % (24h Trend)      99 (0)       61 (-1)      99           69
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   S 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      SE 2-6       Lgt/Var      SW 7-11
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1924                      1612
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                6311                      5290
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 2010                      1700
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                6594                      5576
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  4                      SW 11
Transport Wnd (mph)                S  8                      SW 24
Vent Index (m2/s)                  8040                      18700
Category Day                       4                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              83                        82
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  3                     SW  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE  6                     SW 21
Dispersion Index      3            13           7            62
LAL                   3            2            4            4
LASI                  3            3            3            2
Stability             F            B            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 70. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-191130-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
253 PM CDT Sat Aug 18 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     10           30           60           70
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.13         0.17         0.58
Precip Dur (hrs)                   2            2            8
Precip Begins                      6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends                        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      72 (+1)      87 (+4)      73           86
RH % (24h Trend)      100 (0)      66 (-6)      99           69
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   S 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      S 2-6        Lgt/Var      SW 7-11
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1103                      1531
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3618                      5022
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1165                      1593
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3822                      5226
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  4                      SW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                S  8                      SW 23
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4660                      15930
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              82                        82
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  4                      SW  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S  8                      SW 19
Dispersion Index      7            23           9            58
LAL                   3            3            4            4
LASI                  3            3            3            2
Stability             F            B            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-191130-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
253 PM CDT Sat Aug 18 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     20           0            50           60
Precip Type           tstms        NONE         tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.02         0.00         0.07         0.89
Precip Dur (hrs)      1                         2            8
Precip Begins         6 PM                      6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends           1 AM                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      70 (-1)      87 (+2)      72           84
RH % (24h Trend)      100 (0)      61 (-4)      99           71
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   S 2-6
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1970                      1040
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                6463                      3413
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 2092                      1161
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                6862                      3810
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  2                     SW  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE  3                     SW 18
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4184                      9288
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              82                        80
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  2                     S  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE  4                     S 18
Dispersion Index      2            10           9            49
LAL                   4            2            4            4
LASI                  3            3            3            2
Stability             F            B            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 70. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. North winds
around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds
around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-191130-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
253 PM CDT Sat Aug 18 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     20           20           50           60
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.05         0.05         0.13         0.77
Precip Dur (hrs)      1            1            2            5
Precip Begins         6 PM         1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           1 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      71 (-1)      87 (+2)      73           86
RH % (24h Trend)      100 (+2)     61 (-4)      99           69
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   S 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1755                      1077
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                5759                      3532
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1877                      1199
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                6159                      3933
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  3                     SW  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  6                     SW 18
Vent Index (m2/s)                  5631                      9592
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              82                        81
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  2                      SW  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S  5                      SW 18
Dispersion Index      4            9            6            52
LAL                   3            3            4            4
LASI                  3            3            3            2
Stability             F            B            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-191130-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
253 PM CDT Sat Aug 18 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           40           40           70
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.16         0.14         0.12         0.33
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            2            2            5
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      71 (0)       86 (+3)      73           87
RH % (24h Trend)      100 (0)      66 (-8)      98           67
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   S 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      SW 2-6       Lgt/Var      SW 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1048                      1369
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3437                      4493
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1119                      1442
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3672                      4732
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  4                     SW  9
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  8                     SW 20
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4476                      12978
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              81                        83
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  3                     SW  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW  7                     SW 18
Dispersion Index      10           24           10           51
LAL                   4            3            3            4
LASI                  3            3            3            3
Stability             F            B            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds
around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-191130-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
253 PM CDT Sat Aug 18 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           40           30           60
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.19         0.16         0.12         0.22
Precip Dur (hrs)      3            2            2            5
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      72 (+1)      87 (+3)      73           88
RH % (24h Trend)      100 (+3)     60 (-7)      97           61
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   S 2-6
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      SW 2-6       Lgt/Var      SW 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1604                      1631
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                5262                      5352
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1729                      1756
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                5673                      5760
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  5                     SW  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 10                     SW 18
Vent Index (m2/s)                  8645                      14048
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              81                        82
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  4                     SW  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW  8                     SW 17
Dispersion Index      8            22           8            49
LAL                   4            4            3            4
LASI                  2            3            2            3
Stability             F            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$

SJM



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