Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FNUS54 KMEG 140918
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
418 AM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns will remain low through the next week.
Widespread showers and a few thunderstorms are expected across the
Mid-South today and tonight. Rain chances will continue through
Tuesday with drier conditions anticipated Wednesday and Thursday.
The warm front moving north across the area this morning will
stall today, eventually shifting back to the south tomorrow. Winds
will shift from the north once this front passes.

ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-142100-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
418 AM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       MCldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     50           90           90
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.10         0.16         0.48
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            1            10
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      66 (+9)      53 (+1)      54
RH % (24h Trend)      83 (+12)     98 (+3)      72
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   NE 3-7                    N 8-12 G18
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   N 2-6        N 2-6        N 10-14
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    316                       438
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   1036                      1438
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    395                       518
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   1297                      1699
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  7                     NE  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 16                     NE 14
Vent Index (m2/s)     2765                      3108
Category Day          2                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 67                        56
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S  4                      N 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S  9                      N 23
Dispersion Index      15           13           37
LAL                   2            2            2
LASI                  2            2            2
Stability             C            D            D
Stagnation Index      3            3            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the lower
40s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in
the lower 50s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy.
Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs around 60.
Minimum RH 63 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-142100-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
418 AM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     70           80           70
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.16         0.34         0.26
Precip Dur (hrs)      6            1            8
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      71 (+9)      59 (+4)      59
RH % (24h Trend)      81 (+11)     97 (-1)      69
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 2-6                    N 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   W 2-6        Lgt/Var      N 10-14 G19
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    268                       505
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   880                       1657
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    330                       567
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   1084                      1861
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 10                     N  3
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 22                     N  7
Vent Index (m2/s)     3300                      1701
Category Day          2                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 73                        63
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  8                     N 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 18                     N 21
Dispersion Index      25           11           19
LAL                   2            2            2
LASI                  2            2            2
Stability             C            D            D
Stagnation Index      3            3            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s.
Minimum RH 70 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the lower
50s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-142100-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
418 AM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       MCldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     80           80           90
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.28         0.18         0.43
Precip Dur (hrs)      1            1            10
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      67 (+12)     57 (+6)      57
RH % (24h Trend)      85 (+12)     95 (-1)      71
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   E 2-6                     N 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      N 7-11
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    256                       406
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   839                       1332
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    377                       527
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   1236                      1729
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 10                     N  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 23                     N 10
Vent Index (m2/s)     3770                      2635
Category Day          2                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 66                        59
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S  8                      N  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 19                      N 18
Dispersion Index      23           13           18
LAL                   2            2            2
LASI                  2            2            2
Stability             D            D            D
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the lower
40s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows
around 40. North winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon
becoming light and variable.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph becoming
southwest late in the morning.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-142100-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
418 AM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     80           80           70
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.32         0.40         0.26
Precip Dur (hrs)      5            2            8
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      71 (+11)     60 (+7)      61
RH % (24h Trend)      85 (+15)     98 (+2)      70
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 2-6                    N 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 2-6       Lgt/Var      N 7-11
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    353                       420
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   1157                      1379
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    474                       541
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   1554                      1776
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 11                     NW  3
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 25                     NW  6
Vent Index (m2/s)     5214                      1623
Category Day          3                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 70                        63
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S 11                      N  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 25                      N 17
Dispersion Index      27           14           18
LAL                   2            2            2
LASI                  2            3            2
Stability             C            D            D
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s.
Minimum RH 68 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows around 50.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-142100-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
418 AM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     70           70           60
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.37         0.42         0.13
Precip Dur (hrs)      8            6            3
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      76 (+9)      64 (+6)      68
RH % (24h Trend)      78 (+13)     100 (+4)     62
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 5-9                     N 2-6
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 4-8       Lgt/Var      N 8-12 G18
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    743                       478
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   2439                      1569
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    815                       550
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   2674                      1804
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 12                     NW  2
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 28                     NW  5
Vent Index (m2/s)     9780                      1100
Category Day          4                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 75                        70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S 10                      NW  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 23                      NW 17
Dispersion Index      52           15           25
LAL                   2            2            2
LASI                  2            3            2
Stability             C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
73 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the mid
40s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the lower
50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 65 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-142100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
418 AM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     60           60           50
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.30         0.32         0.06
Precip Dur (hrs)      8            3            2
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      78 (+10)     65 (+7)      74
RH % (24h Trend)      68 (+8)      97 (+8)      60
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 4-8                     Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 4-8       Lgt/Var      N 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    884                       703
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   2900                      2306
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1008                      827
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   3306                      2713
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 11                     SW  4
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 24                     SW  9
Vent Index (m2/s)     11088                     3308
Category Day          4                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 74                        73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW 10                     W  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 23                     W 16
Dispersion Index      56           19           42
LAL                   2            2            2
LASI                  3            3            3
Stability             C            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the lower
50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
72 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 61 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 66 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$



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