Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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858
FNUS54 KMEG 212017
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
317 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Seasonal early summer weather will prevail through the next seven
days, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and generally light
winds. Areas of light fog and overall poor mixing will prevail
over valley areas at night.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-221115-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
317 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           20           0            20
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        NONE         tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.08         0.07         0.00         0.01
Precip Dur (hrs)      1            1                         1
Precip Begins         6 PM         7 AM                      1 PM
Precip Ends           1 AM         6 PM                      6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      68 (-1)      86 (+2)      69           87
RH % (24h Trend)      100 (0)      53 (-10)     95           49
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE 3-7
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1769                      1978
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                5805                      6490
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1855                      2064
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                6087                      6772
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N  2                      NE  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                N  3                      NE  6
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3710                      6192
Category Day                       2                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              79                        82
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N  1                      E  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N  3                      E  6
Dispersion Index      6            11           3            20
LAL                   3            3            3            1
LASI                  3            3            3            3
Stability             F            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 70. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 55 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-221115-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
317 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           30           0            30
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        NONE         tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.13         0.09         0.00         0.06
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            2                         2
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing                7 AM
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 PM                      6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      69 (0)       86 (0)       70           88
RH % (24h Trend)      99 (0)       55 (-4)      96           49
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE 3-7
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1815                      2099
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                5955                      6885
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1877                      2161
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                6159                      7089
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NE  2                     E  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE  3                     E  6
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3754                      6483
Category Day                       2                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              80                        83
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N  1                      E  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N  3                      E  6
Dispersion Index      9            17           3            25
LAL                   4            3            3            2
LASI                  3            3            3            3
Stability             E            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Northeast winds
around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 70. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 70. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 54 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-221115-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
317 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           30           0            0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.11         0.08         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            2
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      67 (-1)      84 (0)       68           87
RH % (24h Trend)      99 (0)       59 (-5)      98           51
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1263                      1826
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                4143                      5992
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1384                      1947
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                4540                      6389
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N  1                      N  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                N  2                      N  7
Vent Index (m2/s)                  1384                      5841
Category Day                       1                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              77                        80
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  2                     NE  2
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW  5                     NE  5
Dispersion Index      8            13           4            22
LAL                   4            3            3            1
LASI                  3            3            3            3
Stability             E            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 58 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-221115-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
317 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           30           0            20
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        NONE         tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.11         0.08         0.00         0.01
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            2                         1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing                7 AM
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 PM                      6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      68 (-1)      84 (0)       68           87
RH % (24h Trend)      100 (0)      61 (-2)      99           53
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1169                      1805
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3836                      5921
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1290                      1926
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                4233                      6318
Transport Wnd (m/s)                E  2                      NE  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                E  3                      NE  6
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2580                      5778
Category Day                       2                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              78                        81
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  2                     NE  2
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW  5                     NE  6
Dispersion Index      8            11           4            25
LAL                   4            3            3            2
LASI                  3            3            3            3
Stability             E            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light
and variable.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and
variable.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum RH 62 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-221115-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
317 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           40           0            30
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        NONE         tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.19         0.11         0.00         0.07
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            2                         2
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing                7 AM
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 PM                      6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      69 (0)       86 (+1)      70           87
RH % (24h Trend)      99 (0)       58 (-2)      98           51
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1776                      1929
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                5826                      6328
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1848                      2000
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                6062                      6563
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NE  1                     NE  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE  2                     NE  6
Vent Index (m2/s)                  1848                      6000
Category Day                       1                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              80                        82
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NW  2                     NE  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NW  4                     NE  6
Dispersion Index      8            23           6            25
LAL                   4            3            3            3
LASI                  3            3            3            3
Stability             E            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph
late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-221115-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
317 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           40           0            30
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        NONE         tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.16         0.12         0.00         0.06
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            2                         2
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing                7 AM
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 PM                      Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      67 (-2)      85 (0)       68           87
RH % (24h Trend)      100 (0)      59 (-1)      99           52
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1429                      1777
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                4689                      5831
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1553                      1901
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                5095                      6237
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NE  2                     NE  2
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE  3                     NE  5
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3106                      3802
Category Day                       2                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              78                        81
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  3                      NE  2
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S  6                      NE  4
Dispersion Index      14           15           4            25
LAL                   4            3            3            3
LASI                  3            3            3            3
Stability             E            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast winds around
5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.THURSDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph
late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 52 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 61 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum RH 65 percent. East winds around 5 mph.

$$



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