Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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814
FNUS54 KMEG 161036
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
436 AM CST Wed Jan 16 2019

.DISCUSSION...

Dry and seasonally mild weather will prevail across the Midsouth
today, along with increasing clouds. Scattered showers and drizzle will
develop tonight, with overnight lows prevailing in the 40s. Rain will
exit the Midsouth by Thursday evening, with dry conditions prevailing
Friday. High temperatures Thursday and Friday will average around 10
degrees above normal.

The mild weather will come to an end with the passage of cold front
on Saturday. Rain during the day Saturday will change over to light
snow or flurries Saturday evening into early Sunday morning.


ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-162315-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
436 AM CST Wed Jan 16 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            50           50
Precip Type           NONE         showers      showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.05         0.06
Precip Dur (hrs)                   2            2
Precip Begins                      6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends                        Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      50 (+9)      44 (+11)     57
RH % (24h Trend)      70 (0)       100 (+3)     77
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 2-6                    S 6-10
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 2-6        S 3-7        SW 6-10
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    61                        292
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   199                       957
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    140                       371
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   460                       1218
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  4                      W  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  8                      W 18
Vent Index (m2/s)     560                       2968
Category Day          1                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 50                        54
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  4                     SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW  9                     SW 23
Dispersion Index      11           22           26
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2
Stability             C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 69 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 50s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph
becoming north 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of snow and rain showers. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain. Mostly clear. Lows in
the lower 30s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of rain. Partly sunny. Highs in the
upper 40s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds around 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-162315-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
436 AM CST Wed Jan 16 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            50           40
Precip Type           NONE         showers      showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.04         0.04
Precip Dur (hrs)                   2            2
Precip Begins                      6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends                        Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      52 (+9)      46 (+12)     59
RH % (24h Trend)      68 (-1)      100 (+2)     77
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 2-6                     S 6-10
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 3-7        S 3-7        SW 6-10
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    90                        144
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   294                       474
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    151                       207
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   497                       679
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  4                      W  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  9                      W 21
Vent Index (m2/s)     604                       1863
Category Day          1                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 51                        57
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  5                     SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 11                     SW 22
Dispersion Index      11           24           26
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2
Stability             C            D            C
Stagnation Index      2            2            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph becoming north after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 50s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph
becoming northwest in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain showers and a slight chance of
snow. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 40. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain. Mostly clear. Lows in
the mid 30s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of rain. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds around 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-162315-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
436 AM CST Wed Jan 16 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     0            50           70
Precip Type           NONE         showers      showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.03         0.12
Precip Dur (hrs)                   1            9
Precip Begins                      12 AM        Continuing
Precip Ends                        Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      49 (+8)      42 (+12)     54
RH % (24h Trend)      68 (-3)      100 (+2)     81
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 2-6                    S 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    349                       20
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   1144                      64
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    480                       136
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   1574                      446
Transport Wnd (m/s)   W  3                      SW 12
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  6                      SW 26
Vent Index (m2/s)     1440                      1632
Category Day          1                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 46                        52
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  4                     SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW  9                     SW 24
Dispersion Index      13           20           26
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2
Stability             C            E            D
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows
in the upper 30s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 50s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph
becoming northeast in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Rain showers likely and a chance of snow. Lows
in the mid 20s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of snow. Partly sunny. Highs in the
lower 30s. Minimum RH 55 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 15 to 20. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of rain. Partly sunny. Highs in the
upper 40s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-162315-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
436 AM CST Wed Jan 16 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            50           60
Precip Type           NONE         showers      showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.03         0.10
Precip Dur (hrs)                   1            9
Precip Begins                      12 AM        Continuing
Precip Ends                        Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      51 (+8)      43 (+14)     55
RH % (24h Trend)      63 (-1)      100 (+2)     79
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var                   S 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    322                       45
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   1058                      148
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    450                       166
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   1475                      545
Transport Wnd (m/s)   W  3                      SW 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  7                      SW 25
Vent Index (m2/s)     1350                      1826
Category Day          1                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 47                        54
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  5                     SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 11                     SW 25
Dispersion Index      13           20           26
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3            2            2
Stability             B            E            D
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows
in the lower 40s. West winds around 5 mph becoming north after
midnight.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
60. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain showers and snow. Cloudy. Lows
in the upper 20s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 20. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 40. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of rain. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
upper 40s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-162315-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
436 AM CST Wed Jan 16 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            50           50
Precip Type           NONE         showers      showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.03         0.07
Precip Dur (hrs)                   1            2
Precip Begins                      12 AM        Continuing
Precip Ends                        Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      53 (+9)      45 (+14)     58
RH % (24h Trend)      63 (-1)      100 (+2)     78
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var                   S 6-10
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 2-6        Lgt/Var      SW 6-10
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    183                       99
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   600                       326
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    255                       171
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   835                       561
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  2                     SW 12
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5                     SW 28
Vent Index (m2/s)     510                       2052
Category Day          1                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 50                        58
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  4                     SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 10                     SW 24
Dispersion Index      9            23           28
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2
Stability             B            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows
in the lower 40s. West winds around 5 mph becoming north after
midnight.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
69 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain showers and a slight chance of
snow. Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of rain. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-162315-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
436 AM CST Wed Jan 16 2019

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           MClear       MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            40           60
Precip Type           NONE         showers      showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.01         0.12
Precip Dur (hrs)                   1            9
Precip Begins                      12 AM        Continuing
Precip Ends                        Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      53 (+9)      42 (+13)     55
RH % (24h Trend)      57 (0)       100 (+3)     78
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var                   S 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    571                       62
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   1872                      203
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    700                       188
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   2295                      616
Transport Wnd (m/s)   W  2                      SW 12
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  5                      SW 28
Vent Index (m2/s)     1400                      2256
Category Day          1                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 46                        55
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  W  5                      SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  W 11                      SW 22
Dispersion Index      13           16           28
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2
Stability             B            E            D
Stagnation Index      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. Southwest winds around 5 mph becoming northwest after
midnight.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
68 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain showers and a slight chance of
snow. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of rain. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$



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