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000
FNUS74 KMOB 141104
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Chick 439-441...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
604 AM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry weather conditions continue to prevail across
the burn area today through Monday. Afternoon minimum relative
humidity values drop to between 25 and 30 percent this afternoon,
with around 35 percent expected Monday afternoon. Transport winds
out of the southwest at daybreak this morning around 10 to 15mph
become southerly by early afternoon at 15 to 20mph. Southerly
transport winds continue into Monday around 10 to 15mph. Maximum
wind gusts will be upwards of 20mph mid to late this afternoon,
with 10 to 15mph peak wind gusts for Monday. Afternoon dispersions
will remain good for both today and Monday across the burn area.

Fog potential and other remarks...Areas of fog are expected late
tonight into Monday morning reducing visibility below 1 mile at
times.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...335-1433 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph increasing to 17 to 18 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....11 increasing to 72.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46  51  57  62  45  29  12  8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............72  77  80  82  83  84  84  83
RH..............41  36  31  28  27  27  27  27
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   9   10  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.10  13  15  17  18  18  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.9 2.9 3.8 4.3 4.7 4.3 4.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.3
Transp wind dir.SSW SSW S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   9   13  15  16  17  18  17
Trans wind dir..SSW SSW S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   6   7   7   8   8   8
Dispersion idx..11  24  41  50  69  74  72  72
LVORI...........2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Areas of fog
                    early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1311 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....72 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........5   1   1   1   1   4   7   10  16  23  29  39
Weather cov.....                                            ARS
Weather type....                                            FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............80  74  68  65  62  60  59  57  56  55  55  54
RH..............32  38  51  60  72  81  87  96  98  100 96  100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..10  9   8   8   7   7   7   7   6   6   5   3
20 FT wind gust.18  18  16  15  13  13  13  13  12  10  9   8
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....1.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW S   SSW
Transp wind spd.17  13  13  12  12  12  12  12  10  9   9   8
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW S   SSW
Trans spd (m/s).8   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..72  8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4
LVORI...........1   2   2   3   3   4   5   7   8   9   9   9

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of fog
                    early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 9 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1341 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 65.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........49  59  51  43  35  28  21  14  16  17  19  21
Weather cov.....ARS ARS ARS
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............54  54  58  64  70  75  79  81  83  85  85  83
RH..............100 100 96  83  70  55  45  39  37  34  34  38
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   5   6   6   7   8   9   10  10
20 FT wind gust.8   7   7   7   7   9   10  13  14  16  17  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.9 3.5 3.8 4.1 4.4 4.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3
Transp wind dir.SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   7   8   7   8   10  12  13  13  13
Trans wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   3   4   3   4   4   5   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..3   7   6   8   16  21  31  43  52  61  69  69
LVORI...........9   8   7   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...25
Requested by...Rodney Landrum
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410662.0/MOB
.DELDT 04/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Rodney.landrum@usda.gov