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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

000
FNUS53 KAPX 252037
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
437 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

...Elevated Fire Weather Conditions Friday Afternoon...


.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions Friday afternoon (min humidities
around 20% - 30%) with southerly flow across the region ahead of
our next system. High temperatures in the low to mid 60s. Friday
afternoon winds will generally be sustained at 5-15mph, with
occasional gusts as high as 25mph. Elevated fire danger will be
seen Friday afternoon as dry air and strengthening winds over lap.
Widespread wetting rain chances will move in Friday evening and
night. Storms chances exist most of this weekend into early next
week.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-252200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
437 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....53-58...except 43-48 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........18-23 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (312).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....29-34.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........74-79 percent...except 51-56 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (39).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....60-65...except 50-55 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer...except 11 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........20-25 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (843).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-252200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
437 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....51-56...except 38-43 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........19-24 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (345).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....26-31...except 33-38 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 2 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63...except 43-48 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (675).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-252200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
437 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....54-59...except 39-44 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........19-24 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 3 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (299).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....28-33...except 36-41 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 13 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 12 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66...except around 51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer...except 13 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........20-25 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (876).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-252200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
437 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....55-60...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........18-23 percent...except 28-33 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 5 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (348).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....28-33.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........80-85 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 11 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........21-26 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (962).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-252200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
437 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........18-23 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (367).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....26-31.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........21-26 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (847).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

ELD