Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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607 ACUS01 KWNS 110057 SWODY1 SPC AC 110055 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0755 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024 Valid 110100Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE COASTAL CAROLINAS AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN/CENTRAL FLORIDA... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms may continue across the coastal Carolinas for another couple of hours this evening before moving offshore. A couple of thunderstorms may develop over north or central Florida this evening, posing a risk for gusty winds and hail. ...01z Update... Severe probabilities have been lowered and trimmed with 01z update to focus on isolated thunderstorms across the coastal Carolinas. These storms will move offshore over the next couple of hours, but may briefly produce gusty winds or marginal hail before doing so. A couple of storms may develop inland across northern/central Florida this evening/overnight. While potential appears low given weak low-level convergence, if a storm can develop and be sustained, 00z RAOBs from JAX and TBW indicate an environment capable of supporting strong gusts and hail. the Marginal risk will be maintained for this condition risk. The Marginal risk has been removed from the Upper Midwest where only weak convection has been ongoing this evening. With loss of daytime heating, any strong gust potential should further wane over the next 1-2 hours. ..Leitman.. 05/11/2024 $$