Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS22 KWNS 251921
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0220 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO...

No changes. See previous discussion below.

..Bentley.. 04/25/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0114 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024/

...Synopsis...
A midlevel low and attendant surface cyclone will advance
northeastward from the central Plains into the Upper MS Valley. On
the backside of this system, a belt of strong deep-layer
west-southwesterly flow will persist across a post-dryline
environment over southern NM and parts of the southern High Plains.
This will favor another day of critical fire-weather conditions
across the region during the afternoon.

...Southern New Mexico and much of the Southern High Plains...
Along the southwestern periphery of the primary surface cyclone, a
tight pressure gradient will persist across the area. This, combined
with boundary-layer mixing into the strong flow aloft, will yield
20-25 mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds (with higher
gusts). At the same time, continued downslope flow amid a dry
antecedent air mass will contribute to 10-15 percent afternoon RH.
As a result, critical fire-weather conditions are expected across
southern NM and much of the southern High Plains, given increasingly
dry fuels over the area.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$
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