Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
649 FNUS74 KEPZ 291943 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Collins Park RX...GILA NATIONAL FOREST National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 143 PM MDT Mon Apr 29 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MDT on April 30. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Dry west flow will persist over the region all week. No significant wind makers to pass this week. The dry pattern will keep skies mostly clear for the week, with no precipitation, and very low RH. RH will decrease through the week, with single-digit afternoons and poor overnight recoveries. Temperatures will warm through midweek, with daily highs rising above the daily averages. Winds will be mostly light in the overnight and mornings, with west to southwest winds each afternoon. Afternoon winds will become breezy in the mid and late week afternoons. Fire weather conditions will be typical spring dry and somewhat elevated due to persistent warmth and dryness. .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....70-74. Min humidity........10-14 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 12 mph. Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 14 to 17 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (41000 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (129100 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM Sky (%).........1 1 4 3 3 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 Temp............52 64 68 73 71 RH..............31 17 15 11 12 20 ft wind......W 7 W 7 W 9 SW 12 SW 12 20 ft wind gust.16 16 20 21 21 Mix hgt (ft)....3400 7400 7400 8400 8400 Transport wind..W 14 W 17 W 17 W 17 W 17 Haines index....2 2 4 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..41 110 110 129 129 Ventrate Cat....FAIR VYGD VYGD VYGD VYGD .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....40-44. Max humidity........38-41 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 11 mph with gusts to around 22 mph in the evening and overnight becoming light. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 10 to 17 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Very good (110800 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (5100 knot-ft) in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........5 5 5 3 3 4 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............69 59 53 50 46 42 RH..............13 21 26 30 34 39 20 ft wind......SW 11 SW 11 SW 7 SW 5 SW 5 SW 3 20 ft wind gust.22 22 15 9 9 7 Mix hgt (ft)....6900 6900 500 500 500 500 Transport wind..W 17 W 17 W 12 W 12 W 10 W 10 Haines index....5 4 4 4 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..111 111 5 5 5 5 Ventrate Cat....VYGD VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....71-75. Min humidity........09-12 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 8 to 17 mph with gusts to around 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 11 to 20 mph increasing to around 24 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (43100 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (140000 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (179900 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........3 2 3 2 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............41 53 67 72 RH..............41 27 14 10 20 FT wind......SW 3G7 SW 8G13 SW 12G20 SW 15G25 Mix hgt (ft)....3300 3300 7300 8400 Transport wind..W 11 W 11 W 20 W 24 Haines index....3 2 4 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..43 43 140 180 Ventrate Cat....FAIR FAIR VYGD EXNT .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... Clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 9 mph. .FRIDAY... Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 70. Southwest winds around 9 mph. .SATURDAY... Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 9 mph. $$ Forecaster...BIRD Requested by...Silver City Dispatch Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412708.0/EPZ .DELDT 04/29/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov