Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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411
FNUS74 KMOB 301026
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for GUIS Naval Live Oaks...National Park Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
526 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...More modest southeast to southerly surface and
transport winds are expected today, with scattered rainshowers,
mainly a thunderstorm affecting the burn area.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...335-427 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 5 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....19 rising to 28.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........63  62  60  59  58  57  48  39  30  30
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  40  40  40  30  30  30  30  30
LAL.............2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............72  73  75  75  75  75  76  77  76  76
RH..............90  87  82  84  84  87  85  82  85  85
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   10  12  12  12  12  13  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.13  14  15  16  16  16  17  17  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.15  15  14  14  13  13  13  13  13  12
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
Dispersion idx..19  23  24  24  23  23  27  26  25  25
LVORI...........4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1900, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-366 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 12 mph shifting to the northwest
                    5 to 6 mph after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.South around 5 meters/second shifting to the
                    southwest 2 to 4 meters/second in the evening
                    and overnight, then shifting to the northwest 2
                    to 3 meters/second after 3 am.
Dispersion index....25 decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........31  32  32  32  32  31  30  29  30  32  33  35
Weather cov.....CHC
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............75  75  74  74  74  72  72  72  72  71  70  71
RH..............84  84  87  90  90  97  93  93  93  93  97  93
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW WSW W   WNW NW
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.14  12  10  9   8   7   7   7   6   6   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SW  SW  WSW WNW NW  NNW
Transp wind spd.12  10  10  9   8   7   7   6   5   5   6   6
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SW  SW  WSW WNW NW  NNW
Trans spd (m/s).5   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   3   3
Dispersion idx..25  5   4   4   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   9   9

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 6 mph late in
                    the morning, then shifting to the south 8 to 12
                    mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-488 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the east 6 to 8
                    mph late in the morning, then shifting to the
                    south 9 to 14 mph in the afternoon becoming
                    around 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.North around 2 meters/second shifting to the
                    east 3 to 4 meters/second late in the morning,
                    then shifting to the south 4 to 6 meters/second
                    in the afternoon becoming around 5
                    meters/second late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....2 increasing to 27.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37  39  36  33  30  25  19  14  13  12  11  13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............70  70  71  74  75  77  78  79  80  80  79  79
RH..............93  93  90  84  82  76  74  72  69  69  72  72
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NNE NE  ENE E   SE  S   S   S   SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   5   7   9   10  12  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   6   7   9   12  15  16  17  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.2
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NNE NE  E   SE  S   S   S   S   SSW
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   6   8   9   10  13  13  14  12
Trans wind dir..N   N   N   NNE NE  E   SE  S   S   S   S   SSW
Trans spd (m/s).2   2   2   2   3   4   4   4   6   6   6   5
Dispersion idx..2   5   5   6   11  15  20  25  26  25  24  24
LVORI...........9   8   6   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...Robert Vick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412531.9/MOB
.DELDT 04/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scworthi@gmail.com,Robert_Vick@nps.gov