Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
727
FNUS74 KMOB 290103
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for GUIS Naval Live Oaks...National Park Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
803 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 2100 CDT on April 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected to continue tonight
through much of Monday over the burn site, with relative humidity
values remaining above critical thresholds. It will also be quite
breezy once again tomorrow, with surface wind gusts reaching
around 25 mph throughout the day. Scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms look to return to the forecast by Monday evening and
into Monday night. Southeasterly transport winds are expected to
continue through tomorrow. Afternoon dispersions tomorrow will be
generally good (around 50).
Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected tonight.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...213-274 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 16 to 21 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 7 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....13.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....5.
TIME (CDT) 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........11 8 9 11 12 18 24 30 30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............73 71 73 73 71 71 73 71 71
RH..............79 84 79 79 84 84 76 81 81
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..15 14 13 12 12 12 13 14 15
20 FT wind gust.24 22 21 18 17 18 20 21 22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.21 20 18 17 16 17 18 20 20
Trans wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Trans spd (m/s).9 9 8 8 7 8 8 9 9
Dispersion idx..15 14 13 12 11 12 13 13 15
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 13 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...305-549 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 18 to 22 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 8 to 10 meters/second.
Dispersion index....15 increasing to 49.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........31 31 36 42 47 47 47 47 50 53 56 63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............71 72 72 73 76 76 76 77 76 77 77 76
RH..............84 84 84 84 76 76 79 76 79 76 76 79
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..15 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17
20 FT wind gust.24 25 25 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.1 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SE SSE SSE
Transp wind spd.22 22 21 21 20 18 18 18 18 20 18 20
Trans wind dir..SE SE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SE SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 9 8 9
Dispersion idx..15 28 45 53 52 49 48 46 45 46 45 45
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
overnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0100, then 2.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...274-488 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 21 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 5 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....45 decreasing to 13.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70 77 76 75 74 74 73 73 69 64 60 61
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2
Temp............74 73 71 73 71 71 71 71 71 71 71 71
RH..............84 87 93 87 93 93 93 93 93 93 93 93
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE
20 FT wind spd..16 15 16 16 16 16 15 14 13 10 9 8
20 FT wind gust.18 15 14 12 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.18 17 17 18 17 17 20 21 20 16 14 12
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 7 6 5
Dispersion idx..45 17 15 15 14 14 15 15 14 12 10 9
LVORI...........3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
in the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Slight chance of showers in
the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...213-488 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....12 increasing to 32.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
Sky (%).........62 60 43
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC S CHC S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30 40 20
LAL.............2 2 2
Temp............71 74 77
RH..............97 84 76
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE S
20 FT wind spd..7 12 14
20 FT wind gust.9 14 15
Mix hgt (ft)....800 1500 1600
Mix hgt (m).....240 460 490
Transp wind dir.S S SSW
Transp wind spd.10 14 14
Trans wind dir..S S SSW
Trans spd (m/s).4 6 6
Dispersion idx..8 28 33
LVORI...........7 4 3
$$
Forecaster...96
Requested by...Robert Vick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412531.6/MOB
.DELDT 04/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scworthi@gmail.com,Robert_Vick@nps.gov