Spot Forecast Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
000
FNUS74 KMOB 141022
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for YRS02...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
522 AM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on April 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions will occur over the burn site through
Monday. Afternoon relative humidity values are expected to drop
to around 25 percent today and around 30 percent on Monday. Transport
winds will shift from westerly this morning to south-southwesterly
this afternoon, and remain mainly south-southwesterly on Monday.
Dispersion values will be good today and Monday.
Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy to areas of fog are expected
late tonight into Monday morning, which could become dense around
daybreak as LVORI reaches 9.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog early in the
morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 5900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...Increasing to 1798 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 8 mph shifting to the south 3 to 12
mph late in the morning, then increasing to
around 14 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.West 1 to 4 meters/second shifting to the south
1 to 5 meters/second late in the morning, then
increasing to around 6 meters/second late in
the afternoon.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 61.
LVORI...............8 becoming 1.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1 1 1 1 1 2 4 5 16 28 39 29
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............51 52 59 67 74 78 81 83 85 85 84 82
RH..............96 93 69 50 38 32 29 26 25 25 26 27
20 FT wind dir..WSW WSW WSW W W W SSW S SSW SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 9
20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 5 5 7 8 10 12 14 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.8 3.1 4.5 5.3 5.7 5.9 5.6 5.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.7
Transp wind dir.W W W W W SSW S S S SSW SSW SSW
Transp wind spd.8 7 6 6 3 3 7 7 9 10 12 14
Trans wind dir..W W W W W SSW S S S SSW SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).4 3 3 3 1 1 3 3 4 4 5 6
Dispersion idx..3 6 5 7 8 16 34 47 57 65 61 61
LVORI...........8 6 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Patchy fog
overnight.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 13 mph shifting to the north
around 7 mph after 3 am, then shifting to the
southwest around 6 mph early in the morning.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 6 meters/second shifting to the
north around 3 meters/second after 3 am, then
shifting to the southwest early in the morning.
Dispersion index....61 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............1 becoming 9.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........20 10 8 5 3 2 2 1 7 14 20 30
Weather cov..... PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type.... FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............79 73 68 65 63 60 58 57 56 55 54 54
RH..............31 38 49 56 65 75 83 90 93 96 96 96
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..8 7 6 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 1 1
20 FT wind gust.14 14 13 12 10 9 9 8 7 6 5 3
Mix hgt (kft)...5.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....1.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SSW SW SW SSW SW SW SW SSW SSW N N SW
Transp wind spd.13 10 10 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 6
Trans wind dir..SSW SW SW SSW SW SW SW SSW SSW N N SW
Trans spd (m/s).6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3
Dispersion idx..61 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 8 9
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog early
in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 4300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...Increasing to 1311 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southwest 3
to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 1 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....2 increasing to 58.
LVORI...............9 becoming 1.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40 50 39 29 18 14 10 6 6 7 7 7
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............53 54 58 66 72 77 81 83 85 85 84 81
RH..............100 96 93 73 61 48 38 33 31 31 32 38
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..1 1 2 2 3 5 5 6 7 8 9 8
20 FT wind gust.3 2 3 5 6 7 9 10 12 14 15 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.4 3.2 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.3 4.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3
Transp wind dir.N SW SW SW SW SSW SSW SSW SSW S S S
Transp wind spd.6 3 5 5 5 6 7 7 8 10 12 12
Trans wind dir..N SW SW SW SW SSW SSW SSW SSW S S S
Trans spd (m/s).3 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 5
Dispersion idx..2 4 4 5 9 18 28 37 43 52 58 58
LVORI...........9 8 6 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...22
Requested by...Matt Delaney
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410657.0/MOB
.DELDT 04/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.delaney@usda.gov