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000
FNUS73 KMPX 241214
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Bakers Lake...MN DNR Wildlife
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
714 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...For the Bakers Lake Burn, skies will be mostly
sunny today with a few high clouds moving through from west to
east midday. This will allow highs today to be in the upper 50s to
low 60s. Dry conditions are expected, with relative humidity
values forecasted to be in the low 60s this morning before
dropping into the mid-low 30s by the afternoon. Winds will
generally be southeasterly at 5-10 MPH.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Areas of frost early in
                    the morning.
Temperature.........36 at ignition...Max 60.
RH..................79 percent at ignition...Min 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 7 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 7 to 8
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /10600 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /47900 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC
Weather cov.....ARS
Weather type....FST
Tstm cov........
Temp............36  39  44  47  51  54  57  58  59  60  60  59
RH..............79  73  60  56  50  46  42  39  36  33  33  34
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   8   8   7   8   8   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.13  13  12  12  12  10  10  10  10  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.3 1.9 2.5 3.5 4.4 4.9 5.4 6.1 6.0 5.8 4.2
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  10  10  10  9   8   8   8   8   9   12  13
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Temperature.........Min 43.
RH..................Max 65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (57800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Temperature.........Max 67.
RH..................Min 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 18 mph increasing to 18 to
                    20 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (103900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (91600
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Dunleavy
Requested by...Tim Koppelman
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412193.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tim.koppelman@state.mn.us