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FNUS73 KMPX 241241
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for SMSC Rx Burn...Shakopee Mdewakanton Sioux Community
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
741 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on April 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...For the SMSC Rx Burn, skies will be mostly
sunny today with a few high clouds moving through from west to
east midday. This will allow highs today to be in the upper 50s
Dry conditions are expected, with relative humidity values
forecasted to be in the low 60s this morning before dropping into
the mid-low 30s by the afternoon. Winds will generally be
south to southeasterly at 5-10 MPH. Smoke plume may impact
residences immediately north of the burn site.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........50 at ignition...Max 59.
RH..................44 percent at ignition...Min 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 6 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 6 to 7
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /20500 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /33600 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 7 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  53  55  57  58  59  59  58  55  52  49  47
RH..............44  41  38  37  36  34  33  34  40  43  50  49
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   7   6   6   6   7   7   8
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   10  12  13
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 4.2 4.9 5.3 5.6 5.6 5.3 3.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   7   9   12  13
Haines index....3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Temperature.........Min 41.
RH..................Max 62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (31900 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 9 mph increasing to 12 to 14 mph in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Temperature.........Max 67.
RH..................Min 31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (88600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 22 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Dunleavy
Requested by...Rachel Crownhart
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412215.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rachel.crownhart@shakopeedakota.org