Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
163 FNUS55 KPSR 051941 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 1241 PM MST Sun May 5 2024 .DISCUSSION... A weather system moving just to the north of the region today will bring breezy to windy conditions areawide. Wind gusts of 25-35 mph are likely in many areas through early this evening with upwards of 40-45 mph possible across portions of southeast California and over the high terrain north and east of Phoenix. The strong winds and dry conditions with relative humidities as low as 20% today could lead to elevated fire weather conditions. Lighter winds are expected by Monday before slightly increasing once again on Tuesday. MinRHs both on Monday and Tuesday will lower to around 10%, with overnight recoveries between 20-50%. Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-060745- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 1241 PM MST Sun May 5 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................49-59. * 24 hr trend..................8 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................27-40 pct. * 24 hr trend..................12 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................80-86. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................6-10 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......7200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 9 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .MONDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................54-64. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................19-29 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming 20 to 30 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................86-92. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................8-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 17 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 55-65. Highs 85-92. West winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 55-65. Highs 86-93. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57-67. Highs 88-95. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60-70. Highs 91-97. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 62-72. Highs 92-98. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-060745- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 1241 PM MST Sun May 5 2024 /1241 PM PDT Sun May 5 2024/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................48-53. * 24 hr trend..................9 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................33-50 pct. * 24 hr trend..................14 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................82-87. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................7-11 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 20 to 30 mph in the morning becoming northwest 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........West 8 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Fair. .MONDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................54-59. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................29-41 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming 20 to 30 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................89-94. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................9-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 11 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 57-62. Highs 87-92. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 57-62. Highs 89-94. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58-65. Highs 91-96. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60-65. Highs 95-100. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61-66. Highs 95-100. $$ AZZ133-060745- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 1241 PM MST Sun May 5 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................41-53. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................40-63 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 40 to 50 mph in the evening becoming west 25 to 35 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................68-82. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 20 to 30 mph in the morning becoming northwest 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .MONDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................42-56. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................21-33 pct. * 24 hr trend..................23 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming 25 to 35 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................72-86. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................8-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 44-59. Highs 72-87. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 44-60. Highs 73-87. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45-62. Highs 76-91. South winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48-63. Highs 76-91. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48-64. Highs 78-92. $$ CAZ232-060745- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 1241 PM PDT Sun May 5 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. Patchy blowing dust in the evening. * Min Temperature.................50-55. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................29-55 pct. * 24 hr trend..................16 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................77-86. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................8-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 20 to 30 mph in the morning becoming 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .MONDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................57-62. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................27-50 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming 20 to 30 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................84-94. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................9-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 59-65. Highs 83-92. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 59-65. Highs 84-93. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60-68. Highs 87-95. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 62-69. Highs 90-99. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63-69. Highs 90-99. $$ CAZ230-060745- Joshua Tree National Park- 1241 PM PDT Sun May 5 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................39-51. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................33-43 pct. * 24 hr trend..................31 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................68-81. * 24 hr trend..................9 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................10-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .MONDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................47-57. * 24 hr trend..................8 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................32-44 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................74-89. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................9-16 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 49-62. Highs 70-84. North winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 49-61. Highs 72-86. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 51-63. Highs 75-90. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53-65. Highs 78-93. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54-66. Highs 79-94. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Monday May 13th through Wednesday May 15th: Above normal temperatures and near median precipitation.