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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
034
FNUS52 KILM 210917
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
517 AM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure centered over the Eastern Great Lakes will continue
to ridge down the East Coast thru Monday even as the High`s Center
tracks to the NE States and eventually off the New England Coast by
late Mon. A slow moving storm system will track east along the Gulf
Coast States Sun thru Mon then re-organize overhead by Tue then
finally lift NE away from the area during Wed. There is the
potential for final rainfall amounts from Sun night thru Tue Night
to reach a very conservative 1.50 to 2.50 inches. In addition, the
sfc pressure gradient will tighten resulting with breezy to possibly
wind conditions from onshore winds.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight...Low to Moderate.
NCZ105>110-220130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
517 AM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud amount Clear Clear MClear
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 68 42 71
Wnd20ft/early(mph) NE 3 E 5 NE 5
Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 7 LGT/VAR E 9
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip duration
Inversion 50/0900 2000 60/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 29 99 33
DSI 3 3
Haines Index 5 4 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5930 4730
Transport wnd (mph) NE 6 E 12
Ventilation rate 35580 56760
ADI early 32 Fair 21 Fair 33 Fair
ADI late 33 Fair 2 Very poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI early 10 3 9
Max LVORI late 2 8 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. East winds 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Periods of rain with isolated thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of
precipitation 90 percent. East winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Cloudy with rain likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. East winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-220130-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
517 AM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud amount Clear Clear PCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 69 42 71
Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR SE 3 E 3
Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 5 LGT/VAR E 7
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip duration
Inversion 48/0900 2000 59/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 27 95 31
DSI 3 3
Haines Index 5 3 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5800 4890
Transport wnd (mph) NE 5 SE 9
Ventilation rate 29000 44010
ADI early 33 Fair 21 Fair 33 Fair
ADI late 32 Fair 1 Very poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI early 10 3 7
Max LVORI late 2 7 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum
RH 60 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Periods of rain with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with rain likely with isolated thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-220130-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
517 AM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud amount Clear Clear PCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 72 42 72
Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR SE 3 E 4
Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 5 LGT/VAR E 7
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip duration
Inversion 48/0900 2000 59/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 24 89 31
DSI 4 4
Haines Index 5 4 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 6050 4930
Transport wnd (mph) E 5 SE 10
Ventilation rate 30250 49300
ADI early 31 Fair 17 Gen poor 33 Fair
ADI late 32 Fair 2 Very poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI early 10 3 6
Max LVORI late 2 6 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the
lower 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Periods of rain. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Periods of rain with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with rain likely with isolated thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-220130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
517 AM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud amount Clear Clear PCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 70 43 71
Wnd20ft/early(mph) NE 3 E 5 E 6
Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 9 E 3 E 10 G20
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip duration
Inversion 51/0900 2000 62/1000
Dispersion Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 32 99 43
DSI 3 3
Haines Index 5 4 5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5650 4790
Transport wnd (mph) E 9 SE 18
Ventilation rate 50850 86220
ADI early 42 Gen good 33 Fair 51 Gen good
ADI late 41 Gen good 2 Very poor 55 Gen good
Max LVORI early 10 3 8
Max LVORI late 2 7 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the
mid 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy, rain. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
72 percent. Chance of rain near 100 percent. East winds 20 to
25 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Periods of rain with isolated thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of
precipitation near 100 percent. East winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Cloudy with rain likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. East winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-220130-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
517 AM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud amount Clear Clear PCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 72 43 72
Wnd20ft/early(mph) NE 3 SE 4 E 5
Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 7 LGT/VAR E 10
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip duration
Inversion 50/0900 2000 61/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 27 96 39
DSI 4 3
Haines Index 5 4 5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5820 4910
Transport wnd (mph) E 7 SE 18
Ventilation rate 40740 88380
ADI early 45 Gen good 34 Fair 49 Gen good
ADI late 45 Gen good 2 Very poor 55 Gen good
Max LVORI early 10 3 7
Max LVORI late 2 7 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Chance of rain near 100 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Periods of rain with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of precipitation near
100 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with rain likely with isolated thunderstorms.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-220130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
517 AM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud amount Clear Clear PCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 73 43 73
Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR SE 3 E 4
Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 6 LGT/VAR E 8
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip duration
Inversion 48/0900 2000 59/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 23 89 34
DSI 4 3
Haines Index 5 4 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 5960 4950
Transport wnd (mph) E 6 SE 15
Ventilation rate 35760 74250
ADI early 35 Fair 23 Fair 40 Fair
ADI late 38 Fair 2 Very poor 53 Gen good
Max LVORI early 10 3 6
Max LVORI late 2 5 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the
lower 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Chance of rain 90 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Periods of rain with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of precipitation near
100 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with rain likely with isolated thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
dch
- National Weather Service
- Twin Cities, MN Weather Forecast Office
- 1733 Lake Drive West
- Chanhassen, MN 55317-8581
- 952-361-6670
- Page Author: MPX Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: w-mpx.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: Mar 8th, 2018 20:36 UTC