Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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034
FNUS52 KILM 210917
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
517 AM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure centered over the Eastern Great Lakes will continue
to ridge down the East Coast thru Monday even as the High`s Center
tracks to the NE States and eventually off the New England Coast by
late Mon. A slow moving storm system will track east along the Gulf
Coast States Sun thru Mon then re-organize overhead by Tue then
finally lift NE away from the area during Wed. There is the
potential for final rainfall amounts from Sun night thru Tue Night
to reach a very conservative 1.50 to 2.50 inches. In addition, the
sfc pressure gradient will tighten resulting with breezy to possibly
wind conditions from onshore winds.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low to Moderate.

NCZ105>110-220130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
517 AM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          68           42           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  3        E  5         NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  7         LGT/VAR      E  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             50/0900      2000         60/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        29           99           33
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          5            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5930                      4730
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  6                     E 12
Ventilation rate      35580                     56760
ADI early             32 Fair      21 Fair      33 Fair
ADI late              33 Fair      2 Very poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           3            9
Max LVORI late        2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. East winds 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Periods of rain with isolated thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of
precipitation 90 percent. East winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Cloudy with rain likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. East winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-220130-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
517 AM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          69           42           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SE  3        E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  5         LGT/VAR      E  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             48/0900      2000         59/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        27           95           31
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          5            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5800                      4890
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  5                     SE  9
Ventilation rate      29000                     44010
ADI early             33 Fair      21 Fair      33 Fair
ADI late              32 Fair      1 Very poor  37 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           3            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum
RH 60 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Periods of rain with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with rain likely with isolated thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-220130-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
517 AM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          72           42           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SE  3        E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  5         LGT/VAR      E  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             48/0900      2000         59/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        24           89           31
DSI                   4                         4
Haines Index          5            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6050                      4930
Transport wnd (mph)   E  5                      SE 10
Ventilation rate      30250                     49300
ADI early             31 Fair      17 Gen poor  33 Fair
ADI late              32 Fair      2 Very poor  40 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           3            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the
lower 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Periods of rain. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Periods of rain with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with rain likely with isolated thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-220130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
517 AM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          70           43           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  3        E  5         E  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  9         E  3         E 10 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             51/0900      2000         62/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        32           99           43
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          5            4            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5650                      4790
Transport wnd (mph)   E  9                      SE 18
Ventilation rate      50850                     86220
ADI early             42 Gen good  33 Fair      51 Gen good
ADI late              41 Gen good  2 Very poor  55 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           3            8
Max LVORI late        2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the
mid 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy, rain. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
72 percent. Chance of rain near 100 percent. East winds 20 to
25 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Periods of rain with isolated thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of
precipitation near 100 percent. East winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Cloudy with rain likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. East winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-220130-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
517 AM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          72           43           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  3        SE  4        E  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  7         LGT/VAR      E 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             50/0900      2000         61/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        27           96           39
DSI                   4                         3
Haines Index          5            4            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5820                      4910
Transport wnd (mph)   E  7                      SE 18
Ventilation rate      40740                     88380
ADI early             45 Gen good  34 Fair      49 Gen good
ADI late              45 Gen good  2 Very poor  55 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           3            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Chance of rain near 100 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Periods of rain with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of precipitation near
100 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with rain likely with isolated thunderstorms.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-220130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
517 AM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          73           43           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SE  3        E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  6         LGT/VAR      E  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             48/0900      2000         59/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        23           89           34
DSI                   4                         3
Haines Index          5            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5960                      4950
Transport wnd (mph)   E  6                      SE 15
Ventilation rate      35760                     74250
ADI early             35 Fair      23 Fair      40 Fair
ADI late              38 Fair      2 Very poor  53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           3            6
Max LVORI late        2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the
lower 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Chance of rain 90 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Periods of rain with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of precipitation near
100 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with rain likely with isolated thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

dch



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