Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA
385
FNUS73 KDMX 171418
FWSDMX
Spot Forecast for Wagner...RES p/Iowa NRCS
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
918 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on May 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.
Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.
.DISCUSSION...
Breezy south to southeast wind is expected today with gusts over
25 mph possible. Good mixing today will also promote lower
relative humidity values this afternoon.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 16 to 18 mph.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 23 to 28 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (63000 knot-ft).
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14 9 7 5 4 4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............75 78 81 84 84 84
RH..............50 43 39 34 33 33
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..16 17 18 18 18 18
20 FT wind gust.23 25 25 26 28 28
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 4.3 4.9 5.8 6.1 6.4
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW S S S
Transp wind spd.23 25 28 28 28 28
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0
Haines index....6 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/100063 94 117 139 146 154
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 14 to 18 mph.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 28 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (132900 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to good (39800 knot-ft) late in the
night decreasing to fair (14300 knot-ft) early
in the evening decreasing to poor (11200
knot-ft) late in the night early in the
evening.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........3 4 2 3 8 27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............83 78 69 66 64 62
RH..............34 42 59 65 70 72
20 ft wind......S 18 S 16 S 15 S 14 S 14 S 14
20 ft wind gust.28 25 24 25 25 24
Mix hgt (ft)....5500 800 700 700 700 700
Transport wind..SW 28 S 20 S 21 S 21 S 21 S 20
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0
Haines index....5 6 6 6 6 6
SDspl kt-ft/1000133 14 13 13 12 11
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 14 to 17 mph shifting to the
northwest 14 to 16 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 24 mph shifting to the
northwest 15 to 23 mph in the late morning and
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11200 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (74100 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........39 26 19 11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............61 70 77 80
RH..............78 63 52 36
20 FT wind......S 14G24 SW 17G26 W 16G24 NW 15G23
Mix hgt (ft)....700 2200 3700 5000
Transport wind..S 20 SW 24 NW 22 NW 16
GFDI............0 0 0 0
Haines index....6 5 5 4
SDspl kt-ft/100011 46 71 73
$$
Forecaster...Donavon
Requested by...Danny Simcox
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414514.0/DMX
.DELDT 05/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dsimcox@res.us